Three Big Ideas #25

😷 Eamonn Ives, Research Director

This coming Sunday will mark half a decade since then Prime Minister Boris Johnson took to our television screens to announce the first nationwide lockdown in response to the escalating Covid-19 pandemic. To slow the spread of the disease, we were instructed to remain indoors and strictly minimise contact with other people. A number of other rules cropped up shortly thereafter – you might remember having to keep two meters apart, abiding by one-way systems and queuing for an eternity outside supermarkets.

Ask an economist and they might tell you that all of these interventions were essentially attempts to correct harmful externalities via ‘social coordination’. We were trying to control Covid-19 by deliberately altering our behaviour, and thus making it harder for it to pass from person to person. And while that might have at least partially worked to lower the rate of new infections, it could only ever be a temporary solution. What we required to truly defeat the virus was not social coordination but rather a technological breakthrough – in the form of a vaccine.

All of this is a long-winded introduction to say that I agree with Max Tabbarok when he asserts in his latest Substack that: “Economics should emphasize the importance of technology as a solution to externality problems and focus less on social coordination.”

He invokes many other areas where humanity has solved pressing and sometimes seemingly intractable social issues, not through individuals coming together and working out how to best manage the situation, but by inventing our way out of the situation in the first place. While social coordination can certainly be a stop-gap to urgent challenges, we should be reminded that genuine long-run progress typically comes from innovators devising technologies that allow us to break free from our current confines and live in a world controlled by us, not the other way around.

👨‍🏫 Anastasia Bektimirova, Head of Science and Technology

Times Higher Education (THE) published an article by Ilana Horwitz on her new book The Entrepreneurial Scholar, arguing that:

“Institutions are changing, and the definition of scholarly success is evolving. It is no longer enough to make minor contributions to arcane fields of knowledge. Scholars must make meaningful contributions to real challenges. They must make connections across disciplines and sectors. They must adapt and contribute to the uncertain world beyond the ivory tower. In short, they need to think entrepreneurially.”

I wholeheartedly endorse this spirit. Yet, looking at the comments under THE’s Chief Global Affairs Officer’s LinkedIn post about the article, I was struck by how quickly the concept of the entrepreneurial scholar can be misconstrued – conflated with commercialisation or abandonment of academic rigour.

It doesn’t mean to “forget about basic research,” as one commentator puts it. Nor does “seeing knowledge as a business,” as another one argues, imply “serving finance or business” at the expense of pursuing knowledge that drives advances. If anything, being an entrepreneurial scholar is about proactively building bridges between disciplines, seeking out more avenues to pursue research and make it actionable – whether for further scientific progress, to inform policy, or drive societal benefit through innovative products and services. The goal is to amplify the potential reach and impact of scholarly work, not make it less scientifically rigorous.

My gentle disagreement with the article, however, is with the point that “institutions are changing.” In reality, institutional conservatism within universities and research funders persists. For example, as I wrote earlier, even though the funding landscape is becoming more diverse, academic institutions continue to train scientists almost exclusively to succeed within the same conventional funding paths. This narrow approach reinforces the very system that alternative funders are trying to complement, creating a self-perpetuating cycle of institutional resistance to progress. The rhetoric of change often outpaces actual structural transformation.

🗽 Philip Salter, Founder

Richard Hanania draws a useful distinction between populism and elites in an article explaining why Donald Trump and Joe Rogan aren’t elites.

According to Hanania, elites are those who derive status from established cultural, political, or social institutions – cultivating esteem primarily among their peers rather than broad audiences. In contrast, populists place blame for societal problems on these elites, championing values that resonate with the masses but are disfavoured by institutional insiders (such as anti-wokeness, mysticism, and traditionalism), and gain status by appealing directly to large audiences rather than seeking elite validation.

Over time, the philosophy of classical liberalism has curbed many of the worst excesses of both, by emphasising pluralism, procedural fairness, meritocracy and individual rights. But as our current era demonstrates, this effort is never conclusively won.

This is why it’s great to see Eamonn (of this house) join forces with fellow liberal Callum Price, standing athwart recent history, yelling ‘Stop’. Their new venture, the Liberal Digest will bring together liberal voices who refuse to accept mediocrity, and to push back against the rising tide of populism.

Back in 2016, Matthew Parris’s defence of Britain’s Liberal Metropolitan Elite was more humorous than urgent. Nearly a decade on, his defence of the liberal elite was more sincere: “Liberals should stop beating ourselves up, stop whimpering about how we failed to address populist concerns, and face millions of good but deluded men and women with honest argument. They are wrong. We are right. We shall be proved right. Chins up.”

Ultimately, liberals – broadly defined – can be validated either by demonstrating that elite institutions effectively serve the public or by allowing populists to govern, thereby showing that they are the lesser of two evils. I know which path I would prefer.

Login Required

Phew! What a week in the world of policy. Even without Trump’s tariffs, there is more than enough fodder to write about – from welfare reforms, to growing concerns over the Employment Rights Bill, to the Planning and Infrastructure Bill being revealed, and half a dozen other things besides.

We’ll get into each of these at some point. But today, I want to write about One Login. Well, more precisely, I want to encourage you to read James O’Malley’s excellent article on why the new GOV.UK login system is the first step in a radical transformation of the British state.

Inspired by the successful Government Digital Service (GDS), established in 2011, the UK has now launched a new Digital Centre of Government, bringing various digital initiatives under one coherent strategy. O’Malley contrasts this careful evolution with Elon Musk’s “bull in a china shop approach” to DOGE (Department of Government Efficiency).

One Login aims to consolidate hundreds of government logins into a single credential. Currently accessible for services like veteran ID cards and DBS checks, major services such as Universal Credit and HMRC remain separate for cautionary reasons.

For businesses, this means a lot less bureaucracy. For example, as I’ve been writing for years now, in Estonia it is estimated that these sorts of reforms save business owners around 12 million hours every year. (Given there are around 36 British companies for every Estonian one, an – admittedly very crude – estimate for time that could be saved here would be approximately 430 million hours per year!)  

A key ambition is the ‘once-only’ principle, meaning you’ll only have to submit your information once, leaving government responsible for updating records across departments automatically – similar to the existing ‘Tell Us Once’ service used for death notifications. This is, as I wrote in our essay collection endorsed by Tony Blair and Stripe’s Patrick Collison, “the way of the future.”

Do read O’Malley’s piece to get the full breadth of the potential. But ambition is one thing, and reality is another. The first hurdle will be ensuring these aspirations aren’t dented by the upcoming Spending Review.

n+1 = innovation
Following the announcement that former Science Minister Lord Willetts has been appointed as Chair of the Regulatory Innovation Office (RIO), this week was perfect timing to publish my interview with John Fingleton CBE to get his perspectives on how Britain should go about regulating markets in a way that encourages more innovation and economic growth.

I first heard John speak when he was head of the Office of Fair Trading (the precursor to the Competition and Markets Authority) and have followed his insights on all things regulation for years.

Our conversation covered what it would take for RIO to hit the ground running – how it should work with other bodies, how regulators can embrace risk in a risk-averse society, and how regulators should approach the AI sector.

Sense on Security
We’re delighted to welcome Julia O’Toole, Co-CEO of MyCena, as an Adviser. Combining mathematics and neuroscience, she spent over 20 years researching cybersecurity gaps, creating a pioneering mathematical model that eliminates human-managed credentials and prevents credential-based attacks. Her expertise combines advanced encryption, cybersecurity practices, and practical business solutions for digital safety.

Julia thinks: “If the UK government aligned their policies with innovative companies’ needs, improved connections between entrepreneurs and resources, and optimised procurement and grant processes, it could enable more technological advancement, driving growth, jobs, and competitiveness.”

We couldn’t agree more. Drop me a message if you’re keen to join as an Adviser.

One More Week
Our migration of this newsletter to Substack will be delayed by a week, as it turns out too many of you receive our newsletter to do this without Substack first doing a human review. You should get a friendly welcome email confirming this. If you want to get ahead of the game though, simply subscribe here.

Three Big Ideas #24

Three Big Ideas is our weekly roundup of ideas (and our takes on them) in entrepreneurship, innovation, science and technology, handpicked by the team.

In this week, Eamonn Ives implores smart entrepreneurs to work on reducing the cost of far-UVC, Anastasia Bektimirova unpacks a new report that criticises Whitehall’s siloed approach to Industrial Strategy, and Jessie May Green asks whether President Trump’s DEI pushback will ripple across to the UK.

Three Big Ideas #24

🦠 Eamonn Ives, Research Director

Scale insensitivity is one of the biggest failure modes in politics today. All too often, policymakers will inadequately assess the scale of an issue, and then craft a response that is either utterly underwhelming or extremely excessive. A paradigmatic example is the fixation of lawmakers to ban just about every form of disposable plastic to prevent ocean pollution, despite the fact that Europe – let alone the UK – contributes just 0.6% of total plastic waste that ends up in our seas.

One genuinely life-or-death problem that we have so far mustered a very much underwhelming response to is pathogens that spread through the air. As I learnt from Blueprint Biosecurity’s Richard Williamson’s piece for Works in Progress:

“Airborne infectious diseases remain one of humanity's biggest challenges: The COVID-19 pandemic has claimed an estimated 27 million lives. Tuberculosis kills 1.6 million people annually. One billion people are infected by influenza every year, leading to millions of serious illnesses and hundreds of thousands of deaths.”

Aside from the human tragedies behind these statistics, airborne diseases also pose enormous economic costs. Finding solutions to mitigating them would represent perhaps one of the highest impact things an individual could possibly be working on right now. Fortunately, Williamson points to an intervention that could be just that – far-UVC, a form of ultraviolet light which appears to be a powerful germicide while still being safe for humans. A watershed study of far-UVC showed that it can slash concentrations of airborne bacteria by 98.4%, equivalent to totally refreshing the air in a room 184 times every hour compared to standard ventilation.

One obstacle to the wider deployment of far-UVC systems is their cost, which can render them prohibitively expensive outside of specialist applications such as in hospitals. Just as I wrote before about the need to crack cheap air conditioning, bringing down the price of far-UVC also seems like a challenge where a brainy entrepreneur could do an inordinate amount of good in the world.

⛓️‍💥 Anastasia Bektimirova, Head of Science and Technology

In a report released today, the National Audit Office (NAO) finds that Britain’s Industrial Strategy is being held back by poor Whitehall coordination. It warns that the Department for Business and Trade (DBT), which is leading on the development and delivery of the Industrial Strategy, is finding it difficult to coordinate with the ten other relevant departments, citing immature relationships and limited evaluation capabilities. As the NAO puts it: “DBT faces challenges in its relationships with departments who view growth as integral to their own work and therefore have a different approach to growth and prioritisation in those sectors.”

This disconnect is causing “frustration” among businesses that are trying to navigate government support. This was illustrated at last week’s Business and Trade Committee evidence session by Steve Brierley, Founder and CEO of Riverlane, a Cambridge-based quantum computing company:

“DSIT [the Department for Science, Innovation and Technology] is doing a great job in bringing together the Quantum Strategy. The challenge with quantum though is that it impacts so many different departments – it’s impacting defence, life sciences, advanced manufacturing, clean energy – it cuts across a lot of these pillars. The challenge then is: does everyone think it’s someone else’s job to figure this out?”

These concerns are not new. Focusing specifically on meeting national science and technology objectives, a report I co-authored back in 2023 argued that the creation of DSIT was a positive step but insufficient without addressing broader coordination challenges. The report identified this as a critical factor in becoming a science superpower, recommending several solutions, including appointing a Permanent Secretary-level official to lead the National Science and Technology Council, giving the DSIT Secretary power to approve R&D spending across departments, moving universities from the Department for Education to DSIT, and establishing formal mechanisms to align regulatory bodies.

Today’s findings from the NAO are yet another warning sign that even well-designed strategies for specific technologies or sectors risk falling short of their potential to drive economic growth and meaningful innovation if there isn’t effective cross-government coordination. We need the government to not just create ambitious policies, but to rethink how it organises itself to deliver them effectively.

🌊 Jessie May Green, Researcher

Despite being a UK-based company, the pharmaceutical firm GSK has paused various activities relating to diversity, equity and inclusion (DEI) following Executive Orders from US President Donald Trump. Onlookers may reasonably wonder, will this set a precedent for other British businesses, even if they’re separated from America by thousands of miles of Atlantic Ocean?

Though not legally obligated, many British companies may be eager to please the new President due to the importance of the US market. Indeed, Emma Walmsley, GSK’s CEO, said they were obliged to make the changes given that the USA is their largest market and the US Government is their top customer.

Commenting to The Guardian, employment lawyer Sarah Tahamtani said: “I can’t imagine a situation where a UK employer would be bound by an executive order in the US.” However, Tahamtani notes that Trump’s orders could shift ‘the general mood’, potentially creating ripple effects that impact the way UK businesses approach DEI.

Thankfully, these decisions do ultimately lie with individual companies, not heads of state. I’m sure the founders reading this can attest to the benefits of a diverse workforce. Broadly speaking, CEOs tend to know what’s best for their staff – and it’s with them where responsibility should rest.

n+1 = innovation

In our latest interview, Philip Salter spoke to John Fingleton CBE, Chair of Fingleton and former CEO of the Office for Fair Trading (the precursor to the Competition and Markets Authority). They discussed how to make a success of the new Regulatory Innovation Office, how to reform competition policy to support growth, and much more.

New Wave

I’m delighted to share that today we’ve launched our Young Entrepreneurs Forum. It aims to connect and empower young people building incredible things across the world, and influence governments to create better enabling environments for young entrepreneurs.

For the Forum’s inaugural year, we will focus primarily on identifying solutions to barriers preventing a greater culture of entrepreneurship among young people here in the UK. We will do this by hosting meetup events for young entrepreneurs to gather their thoughts and insights, which will ultimately feed into a policy report and be launched later this year in the Houses of Parliament.

Needless to say, this won’t be headed by an old-timer like myself. We’re grateful to Sean Kohli for chairing and supporting us on this project. Sean is an undergraduate student studying at UCLA and also a General Partner of an early-stage fund spun out of the Why You Should Join newsletter, which highlights early-stage startups on track to becoming generational companies. He also manages a growth and opportunity fund in Luxembourg, backing transformative later-stage startups, and serves on the board of Team Vitality, Europe’s leading esports organisation.

Sean’s involvement stems from a deep-rooted commitment to elevating the UK’s startup ecosystem, shaped by his experiences as an entrepreneur and venture capitalist in the US. In the wake of a new AI-driven epoch, he believes that the UK must accelerate its pace of innovation and entrepreneurial spirit by empowering our brightest and most ambitious minds to build this country’s future. We wholeheartedly agree.

Young people can join the Forum here. By joining you’ll be invited to our meetups, be invited to share your views to shape the final report and be invited to the launch in the Houses of Parliament.

To be clear, this isn’t just for those who have registered a business. We also want young people from the UK and around the world who have built tech, started charities or run campaigns. This is all about ambition.

If you take nothing else from today’s newsletter, forward this onto the most ambitious young people know.

Our country needs them!

Down to Business
Our country also needs more companies exporting and more innovators procuring. We know both these areas of business are replete with hurdles.

That’s why we’re hosting two online meetings with the Department for Business and Trade on Overcoming Barriers to Procurement and Overcoming Barriers to Exporting. If you have experience of either, request a place today.

Data with Destiny
Last week, our joint paper with the Tony Blair Institute set out a delivery roadmap for the National Data Library (NDL).

Now it’s your turn to tell us how to make the NDL as useful as it can possibly be. Are there existing but inaccessible government data, or new datasets that should be created that would advance your work? What supporting services would help you work effectively with these datasets? What bottlenecks most limit your progress?

We want to understand the real barriers you face. If you work with data in academia or the private sector, and think that the NDL could help your work, tell us.

No More Monkeying
As many of you will have spotted, we’re doing a lot more on Substack. As of next week, this newsletter will come to you via Substack (currently it’s delivered via MailChimp).

Apart from a couple of design changes, you won’t notice the difference. Nevertheless, it’s good manners to let you know, so if you would like to be taken off the list or have any questions or concerns please let me know.

Community Pillars
With a healthy dose of trepidation, we’ve created our first open group on our WhatsApp community. It’s to discuss “how to make the UK the best place in the world to start and grow a business”. You can join here. Just to note, your phone number will be visible to others in the community.

Separately, Advisers and Patrons should join this private group, and Supporters should join this private group. Find out more about becoming an Adviser, Patron or Supporter here. If you’re unsure if you’re one, drop me an email.

If this is all too confusing, you can just join the Community here. Within the community, nobody else can see your number unless you are already in their contacts.

ChatEMA
Finally, our good friends at Enterprise Nation have recently launched Ask EMA – an AI-powered personal business assistant, designed to provide instant, personalised business support whenever you need it. Play with it here.

Three Big Ideas #23

Three Big Ideas is our weekly roundup of ideas (and our takes on them) in entrepreneurship, innovation, science and technology, handpicked by the team.

In this week, Eamonn Ives questions whether culture really can explain the economic gap between Britain and the US, Philip Salter weighs up the case for and against banning non-competes and Anastasia Bektimirova makes a plea for greater diversity in funding innovation.

Three Big Ideas #23

🎭 Eamonn Ives, Research Director

On Monday, together with the Jobs Foundation, we hosted a discussion on what can be done to get Britain more excited about business. Unsurprisingly, the question of culture swiftly arose. Some in the room expressed the belief that Brits have developed an almost innate aversion to risk-taking, and that this can explain why countries like America have pulled ahead economically in recent decades.

I’m sympathetic to the line of reasoning. You hardly have to spend long in the US to know that it certainly feels right. But we should hold ourselves to a higher standard than mere gut instinct. A recent blog from Alex Chalmers takes a cooler look at the data, and convincingly argues that while cultural differences exist between our nations, they’re scarcely large enough to plausibly explain the gulf in economic outcomes.

Pleasingly, for someone in the business of influencing policy change, it turns out – surprise, surprise – that legislative choices really do matter. How we regulate employment, how we manage trade with our neighbours, how we govern innovative technologies and how we (dis)incentivise investment will all have more of a bearing on the long-run economic trajectory of a country than any minor population-level differences in attitudes that may exist towards to wealth creation.

On the same day that Alex published his piece, Patrick and John Collison issued their annual Stripe letter. It’s a characteristically insightful read but one part in particular leapt out at me: “The IMF recently measured a 2.5 percentage point annual gap between US and European productivity stemming from differences in allocative efficiency. [...] A 2.5 gap is huge: the difference between 1% and 3.5% GDP growth, for example, amounts to 22% versus 100% growth over just 20 years.” As they then note, disruption caused by new technologies like AI will pose challenges for labour markets all around the world – and those which can’t adapt to it will invariably lose out.

All of this is to say – culture’s important, but, at the margin, policy matters more. I think that should be encouraging, for if we can just tweak a few things here and there, large gains stand to be made.

🤝 Anastasia Bektimirova, Head of Science and Technology

In an interview published last week, Jacob Trefethen, who oversees Open Philanthropy’s science and science policy programmes, explained an overarching criterion behind much of the organisation’s grant-making: funding work in neglected fields to support scientists who would not otherwise receive funding from other sources.

The UK’s Advanced Research and Invention Agency (ARIA) operates with a similar philosophy of funding the work that is unlikely to be backed through other mechanisms – focusing on high-risk, potentially transformative research that traditional funding mechanisms shy away from. This includes, as ARIA’s Precision Neurotechnologies Programme Director Jacques Carolan recently noted, collaborations requiring such diverse expertise that traditional funding mechanisms struggle to support them.

These alternative funding cultures represent an amazing evolution in how we pursue scientific enterprise. Yet, their impact depends on a strong pipeline of ideas in a genre that challenges mainstream thinking – a pipeline our current academic system may not be adequately nurturing. Our academic institutions prioritise training scientists to succeed within conventional funding paradigms. PhD researchers learn to craft proposals that appeal to traditional grant committees, reinforcing the very system these alternative funders seek to complement. How often do early-career scientists receive guidance on pitching to unconventional funders? And perhaps most critically, how might research questions themselves evolve if scientists were trained to consider these alternative pathways from the outset?

Michael Nielsen and Kanjun Qiu captured this dilemma well in their 2022 essay A Vision of Metascience: “Scientists often apply for grants on the basis of what they believe is fundable, rather than with their best ideas. We’ve spoken with scientists who tell us ‘I know I can get funding for many fashionable-but-unimportant projects, but I can’t get funding for the work I think is most important’.” As with many ecosystems, diversity breeds resilience and innovation, while homogeneity and concentration make it difficult for best practices to spread. Our academic training should nurture researchers who can thrive within this increasingly diverse funding landscape.

🚫 Philip Salter, Founder

Over on X, Nando de Freitas has a post arguing for European countries to copy California by banning non-competes. Given the subject matter at hand, it’s clearly an idea worthy of consideration at the highest levels – something Nando evidently agrees with, given he tagged in Presidents and Prime Ministers alike.

As Evan Starr of the Economic Innovation Group reported last year, empirical evidence on the prevalence and harms of non-competes and their enforceability has grown.

The latest evidence suggests that non-compete agreements harm workers, small businesses, and consumers alike. Non-competes seem to suppress wages, reduce job opportunities, and limit competition in the labour market. Startups suffer, as non-compete enforcement reduces new firm entry, stifles innovation, and reinforces the dominance of large, established businesses.

Starr argues that the misallocation of talent, reduced knowledge spillovers, and lower levels of entrepreneurship outweigh any potential benefits. Companies face fewer incentives to innovate or improve efficiency, leading to stagnation in industries that could otherwise thrive.

In 2023, the UK Government consulted on this. Ultimately, the Government decided against mandatory compensation and a complete ban. Instead, they opted for a statutory limit of three months on non-compete clause durations (though this hasn’t really gone anywhere).

This may be a case of the Middle Ground Fallacy. As we argue on university spinouts, sometimes the radical idea is the right one.

Building Britain’s National Data Library

Public services in the UK are drowning in data but starved of actionable insight. Our data infrastructure is fragmented and unfit for purpose, which means valuable public sector data go underutilised. Labour’s manifesto commitment to build a National Data Library (NDL) could change that, however, making public data faster and easier to access and use. But for it to actually work, it needs more than just good intentions – it needs a clear vision and a solid plan.

This week, in a joint paper – Governing in the Age of AI: Building Britain’s National Data Library – our Head of Science and Technology Anastasia Bektimirova together with co-authors from the Tony Blair Institute for Global Change delivered that detailed plan.

They leave nothing to chance, setting out in detail what needs to be done in the short, medium and long term. Getting this right would represent a transformative upgrade in the relationship between government and its citizens, while unlocking innovation opportunities for academia and businesses.

In academia, the NDL could revolutionise medical research by enabling scientists to assess treatment effectiveness more rapidly through NHS and social care records. Environmental researchers, meanwhile, could integrate air-pollution and health data to develop more effective public health interventions. By providing seamless and secure access to vital information, the NDL would empower researchers to tackle pressing societal challenges with greater precision and speed.

In the private sector, the NDL could fuel R&D. Startups and established firms alike could benefit from streamlined access to high-quality data sets, reducing the time and resources currently wasted navigating complex bureaucratic processes. This could, for example, help edtech companies build more effective personalised learning platforms.

In government, the NDL could improve policy design by enabling better data-sharing between Whitehall – for instance facilitating closer collaboration between HMRC, the NHS, and the Department for Work and Pensions to identify health-related barriers to employment and shape more effective welfare policies. Local councils, too, could use the NDL to deliver better public services, proactively identifying at-risk families and intervening before crises escalate. By streamlining data access while maintaining security and privacy, the NDL would enable smarter decision-making across the public and private sectors.

The paper offers over 40 detailed recommendations to make the NDL a reality. Among my favourites is to have dedicated National Data Librarians within government departments. Collectively, they would act as cross-government advisers who ensure data is accessible and aligned with real-world needs. Another great recommendation is that the UK should introduce a unique personal identifier to enable accurate data linkages across public services, following successful models from Estonia and Finland where such identifiers have transformed digital government while strengthening citizens’ control over their data.

The paper paints the NDL not as a giant data lake centralising all government data in one place. Instead, it should enable secure, federated access while ensuring departments retain control over their own data. It won’t function as a commercial marketplace selling government data, but rather as a facilitator of responsible and ethical use of public-sector information. The NDL’s true value lies in transforming data access by making it easier, faster, and more secure to link and use government data while standardising and simplifying data-sharing processes.

Entrepreneurs’ ingenuity will be critical to ensuring that the NDL’s full potential is realised – but first the Government needs to get on with delivering on the promise in (and of) its manifesto.

Food for Thoughts
Yesterday we hosted Parmy Olson for a dinner with Fora about her bestselling book Supremacy. It tells the behind-the-scenes story of the battle between OpenAI and DeepMind, and won the Financial Times and Schroders Business Book of the Year Award. You can find out more and get a copy of Supremacy here.

We’re busy planning our next Fora dinner. If you’re an Adviser, drop me an email with the names of who you’re keen to hear from.

As you’ll see below, we’ve got a lot of events planned and have just brought on a new team member to help us keep up with the demand. This is a roundabout way of suggesting: now’s the time to join us as a Supporter or Adviser to ensure you can come to as many of these as you want, while supporting our efforts to make the UK the best place in the world to start and grow a business. It only takes a few clicks.

Tiny Experiments
On the theme of books, Adviser to the network Anne-Laure Le Cunff, has one out: Tiny Experiments: How to Live Freely in a Goal-Obsessed World. In this transformative book, neuroscientist and entrepreneur Anne-Laure reveals the easier, proven method to achieve our ambitions: an experimental mindset.

You can find out more and get Tiny Experiments here. Anne-Laure’s also hosting an experimental supper club on the evening of the 18 March, which you can buy tickets for here.

Three Big Ideas #22

Three Big Ideas is our weekly roundup of ideas (and our takes on them) in entrepreneurship, innovation, science and technology, handpicked by the team.

In this week, Eamonn Ives advocates for zonal electricity pricing, Philip Salter discusses IQ and entrepreneurship, and Jessie May Green writes about the health of the UK’s net zero economy.

Three Big Ideas #22

⚡️ Eamonn Ives, Research Director

Household energy prices are set to rise by more than expected this coming April, taking the average bill to £1,849. People would be right to groan – in the United Kingdom, we already ‘enjoy’ some of the highest electricity prices in the world and the gap between ourselves and many of our close competitors is growing year on year. Of course, these high prices weigh heavily on Britain’s businesses too, especially those in energy-intensive industries like manufacturing.

One way the Energy Secretary Ed Miliband thinks we can remedy this is called ‘zonal’ electricity pricing. This approach would do away with the current national price for electricity, and instead split Britain into a number of zones where costs could differ between them. On its own, zonal pricing wouldn’t change the underlying realities of supply and demand that ultimately determine the price of electricity. However, it absolutely would trigger second-order effects that boost supply and shift demand to a more appealing equilibrium.

A growing problem with our national price for power is that we now often have to pay for renewables to stop generating so that they don’t overload the system with too much electricity. This is because while we talk of a national grid, we don’t truly have one, because the transmission infrastructure to transport power from where it is abundant to where it is scarce is woefully lacking. As we have installed more and more wind turbines and solar panels, the cost of these ‘curtailment’ payments have increased considerably – to around £1 billion last year.

Zonal pricing would send a signal for significant consumers of energy to move to where power is plentiful and therefore cheap – such as Scotland – and it may well blunt NIMBYism in areas where power is scarce and therefore expensive – such as the South East of England – given that people would more directly bear the costs of their opposition.

Of course, as I’ve pointed out before, the real route to cheaper power is to reform planning rules to enable developers to build more energy infrastructure more easily, but zonal pricing should be seen as a useful complement in that mission. Just as we’d think it bizarre to have a nationally enforced price for pints of beer or gallons of petrol, so too should we look upon national electricity pricing with similar scepticism.

🚀 Philip Salter, Founder

Elon Musk is back in the spotlight (was he ever out of it?) after Seth Abramson estimated on X that his IQ is only between 100 and 110. Back in the real world, however, there is more than enough evidence that he is a great engineer, entrepreneur and technologist. Founding, building and running Tesla, X, SpaceX, OpenAI, Neuralink, xAI, PayPal – and now to a large degree the US Government – doesn’t happen by chance.

If you don’t like his politics this might be hard to read, but as Noah Smith, who definitely doesn’t like his politics, writes: “Maybe saying that Elon has a 110 IQ makes you feel like you beat him in your little online fantasy world, but out there in the actual world, he is still ripping up your national institutions at breakneck speed.” Nate Silver weighed in yesterday, stating two truths that many people struggle to hold in their heads at the same time: while Elon is obviously pretty bright, this shouldn’t be conflated with moral judgment.

Nate has a more interesting point too. While most traits we’d associate with intelligence are positively correlated, Berkson’s paradox teaches us that two positively correlated variables appear negatively correlated when you restrict your view to only a subset of the population. In sports, this often results in the very best attackers in a particular sport being more likely to be weaker at defending. You don’t normally win the lottery in life twice. Of course there are exceptions, but they, as the saying goes, prove the rule. This explains Musk’s spiky intelligence.

Nate ends his excellent article by applying it to entrepreneurship. Clearly VCs in Silicon Valley and around the world are pattern-matching to the sorts of founders that fit the spiky attributes of someone like Musk. Those who are more balanced are passed over, or are attracted to professions like medicine. This leaves us with an important question: How spiky (in both senses of the word) do founders need to be to succeed?

According to Nate, this pattern-matching comes at a cost: “For every founder who gets a round of Series A funding, there are probably 10 or 100 would-be founders who would do roughly as well if they got the same chance.”

🌱 Jessie May Green, Researcher

When America pulled out of the Paris Climate Agreement in the belief that it was crippling their economy, many feared other nations would follow suit. Yet, a new report from the Confederation of British Industry (CBI), which sheds light on the UK’s green economy, gives hope to the view that growth and decarbonisation needn’t necessarily be in conflict.

The CBI’s report reveals that the UK’s green economy is growing three times faster than the overall economy. The net zero sector demonstrates a multiplier effect, with every £1 it generates creating an additional £1.89 in the wider economy. The sector has grown in terms of foreign direct investment (£20.1 billion in financial year 2023/24), gross value added (now totalling £83.1 billion) and employment.

Net zero businesses now support almost one million full-time jobs. These are impressive in terms of their productivity, with each generating £105,500 in economic value (38% above the UK average), and they also pay employees more (£43,076 a year on average). The net zero economy disproportionately supports jobs in areas outside of London and the South East. This is important.

In September, the UK closed its last coal power plant. The preceding succession of pit closures left a void in the primary and secondary jobs sectors, as well as in regional identity for many areas of the UK. Where coal mining once dominated, perhaps green manufacturing can move in. Batteries in Cornwall, EVs in Sunderland, offshore wind in Scotland, onshore in Wales – it’s already happening, and if the Government really does manage to reform planning rules, it will only accelerate.

Mitigating climate risk is essential to long-term economic growth – a sentiment shared by insurers and farmers alike. While others may be retreating from their climate objectives, Britain should pull out all the stops to position itself as the place for green industries to succeed.

Employment Rights (& Wrongs)

The Federation of Small Businesses (FSB) has come out swinging this week, warning the Government that the Employment Rights Bill could “wreak havoc on our already fragile economy.”

As James Hurley writes: “One of the most radical changes is the planned removal of a two-year qualifying period for protections from unfair dismissal. Other changes that are concerning some small employers include granting new rights on sick pay from day one of employment.”

The Bill, due to return to Parliament for further debate, has sparked widespread concern. Entrepreneurs across our network have voiced serious reservations, which we’ve communicated to the Government. Finding the right balance is crucial to prevent widespread negative impacts.

The FSB’s numbers are stark: two-thirds of surveyed small companies indicate the plans would restrict their hiring capabilities, while one-third anticipate reducing their workforce before the measures take effect in 2026. The CIPD’s recent survey of over 2,000 employers reinforces these concerns: 32% are cutting headcount through redundancies or reduced recruitment, while 24% are either cancelling or scaling back business expansion plans.

The government’s own analysis projects annual costs to businesses in the billions. This economic burden won’t remain contained to businesses alone - an imbalanced approach risks creating exactly what the legislation aims to prevent: fewer and less secure jobs. Beyond job cuts and reduced hiring, the legislation may inadvertently encourage employers to shift toward temporary, casual, and self-employed workers.

The government doesn’t need to back down on every measure. A case can be made for fairer compensation for last-minute shift cancellations, appropriate bereavement leave for workers, and reforms to the practice of fire and rehire.

However, history demonstrates that sustainable workers’ rights improvements are intrinsically linked to economic growth. Economic expansion periods have consistently driven dramatic improvements in wages and job quality, enabling major advances in workers’ rights – from minimum wage laws to union rights and reduced working hours.

The Government doesn’t need me to tell them we’re not expanding now. That’s why in the final three months of last year, 32% of small employers expected to reduce staff, up from 17% in the previous quarter, while the proportion of companies looking to hire fell from 14% to 10% over the two quarters.

Now’s the time to double-down – nay, triple-down – on its pivot to growth.

Sovereign Albion
In a thought-provoking Substack article, friend of the Network Andrew Bennett advocates merging scientific and technological advancement with a renewed connection to British land, lore, and folk traditions. He backs our proposal to create a new chivalric order for innovation, but it’s mostly worth reading for a fresh perspective on thinking about progress. It also serves as an antidote for thinking too much about employment regulation!

Ecosystem Builders
Our good friends at the Global Entrepreneurship Network invite you to apply to join the UK delegation at the Global Entrepreneurship Congress (GEC) in Indianapolis.

The GEC brings together over 5,000 global leaders – entrepreneurs, investors, policymakers, academics, and support organisations – for four days of intensive networking, workshops, and keynote presentations. Find out more on their website and this deck.

The UK delegation, led by Marc Ortmans and Matt Smith, currently comprises 35 members with plans to expand to over 60. Contact Matt Smith to learn more and receive a GEC registration fee waiver code.

Pitch in Parliament
Startup Coalition (also friends of the Network) will be hosting a Pitch in Parliament on 17 March. They’re looking for startups that have raised over £500,000 and are solving a problem in Public Services with AI. Find out more.

Three Big Ideas #21

Three Big Ideas is our weekly roundup of ideas (and our takes on them) in entrepreneurship, innovation, science and technology, handpicked by the team.

In this week, Eamonn Ives questions Reform’s latest policy idea, Anastasia Bektimirova discusses how the UK can become a global leader in AI-powered scientific discovery, and Jessie May Green ponders the right approach to thinking innovatively when it comes to decarbonising the economy.

Three Big Ideas #21

💷 Eamonn Ives, Research Director

Though the upstart political party Reform can count the number of MPs they have on one hand, it’s fair to say that they punch above their weight – and that Westminster should take seriously the things they have to say. On Monday, Rupert Lowe MP tore into Britain’s VAT threshold. He declared that it needs to be doubled, at a minimum, to £180,000 – to stop it “suffocating British small business” and “strangling growth.”

While I’m heartened to hear any MP stand up for the private sector, I’m not sure the diagnosis is completely accurate, nor the medicine quite right either.

It is true that the VAT threshold causes some businesses to curtail economic activity. Tax guru Dan Neidle recently estimated that perhaps 26,000 companies in the UK are stalling their growth so as not to hit the threshold. In tangible terms, this might be contractors not taking on jobs or tradespeople not hiring more labour. Altogether, it adds up to a major squandering of economic potential, missed tax receipts for the Treasury, and higher unemployment than the case might be otherwise.

That being said, a VAT threshold ultimately has to be set somewhere – whether that’s £90,000, £180,000, £1 million, or even £0. Currently, the UK has the highest VAT threshold in the world, more than twice as high as the EU and OECD average. Wherever it is set, a cliff-edge will be created, and economic activity will inevitably bunch just below it. We should come to terms with this reality, reduce the threshold and then use the extra revenues to reduce even more damaging taxes. (VATs are a pretty good – or, if you prefer, at least less bad – way of raising money to fund public services.)

Raising the threshold might sound like you’re doing small business a favour, but really you’d just be increasing the number of firms you coddle. Given that an estimated 3.2 million businesses currently sit under the threshold, the political logic far outweighs the economic logic of hiking it higher – but for the sake of sound finances and strong growth, don’t blame me for hoping the latter wins out.

💊 Anastasia Bektimirova, Head of Science and Technology

The pharmaceutical world just experienced its own “DeepSeek moment.” Much like DeepSeek’s emergence as an AI competitor built on leaner resources, a Chinese-developed cancer therapy recently outperformed a drug that generates $30 billion annually, sending shockwaves through the industry and demonstrating that we’re likely to see many more “DeepSeek moments” across various sectors in the coming years.

What’s noteworthy is how AI and biotech are converging. ByteDance, TikTok's parent company, has been actively recruiting computational biologists and establishing AI for Drug Design and AI for Science teams in the US. This expansion beyond social media into life sciences signals the company’s ambition to leverage its AI capabilities and vast data resources for biology, chemistry and drug discovery.

This raises important questions about national security and competitive advantage in science and technology. TikTok has confirmed that staff in China can access European user data, including from UK users. The former chief scientist at the US Food and Drug Administration has warned that “they could be doing large-scale hypothesis generation with all this data, and then they could be feeding that data into Chinese pharmaceutical companies or Chinese weapons manufacturers.”

The UK has taken preliminary steps by banning TikTok from government devices following security reviews, joining many other countries amid similar concerns. But the scale of data being collected from the wider user base – data with high value for both AI and biotech development – is likely to see growing calls for more comprehensive measures.

To maintain its competitive edge in AI, biotech, and the synergy of both, the UK needs to acknowledge these parallel developments and respond accordingly. If we want to excel in critical domains, we need to significantly ramp up our game. A new report from the Tony Blair Institute A New National Purpose: Accelerating UK Science in the Age of AI provides timely analysis of how the UK can become a global leader in AI-powered scientific discovery. Its recommendations on investing in AI-ready scientific datasets, software tools, and reimagining the institutional landscape are the kind of forward-thinking proposals the government should take seriously as competition intensifies.

🌳 Jessie May Green, Researcher

An essay by Dr. Jonathan Foley from 2021 did the rounds again recently. The piece, titled ‘Occam’s Razor for the Planet’ argues that simple climate solutions are often the best, so why waste time and money on complex ones? In the age of ChatGPT, NFTs and SMRs, some may consider this quite radical.

For those not familiar, Occam’s razor is a philosophical principle stating that the explanation requiring the fewest assumptions is usually correct. Here, Foley applies it to climate solutions, arguing: why pump money and resources into nuclear fusion and direct air capture, when that money and those resources could be channeled into solutions that are ready now, like wind and solar?

Yes, if R&D is successful, nuclear fusion would provide virtually limitless, clean, and safe energy with minimal waste. However, if unsuccessful, we risk losing the most precious of all things – time. As Foley writes, “Every year we wait for a promised technology is a year we pour additional billions of tons of pollution into the atmosphere, raising greenhouse gas levels even more and locking in further warming.”

The key here is don’t wait. Research into nuclear fusion and direct air capture will undoubtedly continue. While that is happening, don’t forget to be excited about the ready-to-go solutions, too. It may not be far-reaching, but addressing food waste in your local community is impactful work. It may not be sexy, but composting is just as worthy of start-ups as carbon capture and storage. For a treasure trove of inspiration, see Project Drawdown.

This is not to shun tech innovation. After all, electric vehicles and solar panels seemed nebulous at one stage. Foley merely lays down an interesting challenge to the pro-tech community, and to governments responsible for allocating resources. At what point do we give up on a technology because it is so obviously not the future? At what point do we divert resources to solutions requiring fewer assumptions?

Sense on Security

As is increasingly the case, our cousins across the pond managed to grab the headlines this week. Specifically Vice President JD Vance, who told world leaders at this week’s AI summit in Paris that the “AI future is not going to be won by hand-wringing about safety.”

To some people’s surprise, the US refused to sign the international AI declaration. To most people’s surprise, so too did the UK – choosing instead to side with the US over 60 other countries. The UK Government stated: “We felt the declaration didn’t provide enough practical clarity on global governance, nor sufficiently address harder questions around national security and the challenge AI poses to it.”

While some will attempt frame this as a sign that the UK and US don’t care about safety and regulation, it would be more accurate to see this as a move to clarify priorities. That’s why the UK’s AI Safety Institute has just rebranded as the AI Security Institute. As Ian Hogarth, Chair of the AISI, wrote on X: “It’s time to properly reflect that we see the most serious risks as being those to security.”

Our Substack readers might have seen this coming. In our most recent interview, Herbie Bradley, former member of the technical staff at the AISI, said on the AISI’s future: “It would be quite wise to focus more on AI security – specifically, securing training and deployment data centres against cyberattacks and working closely with the US through mechanisms like Five Eyes. AI security will become much more critical in the years to come, as I expect many capable cyber actors to want to attack highly capable AI systems.”

Maybe this puts us at odds with the EU, but until they upgrade their compass the choice is simple. While it might sound a little overblown, this is really all about the ‘free world’ prevailing. Of course, for this to make sense we must hope that Sam Freedman is wrong in predicting that the US might no longer be part of the free world (paywall) – though we’re less pessimistic.

The prize of getting this right is huge, and is underlined by today’s announcement that the government has signed a memorandum of understanding with Anthropic on AI opportunities. This points towards a future where AI will revolutionise the way that governments serve their citizens. Watch this space for more.

Makers Not Takers
Welcoming the launch of the AI Opportunities Action Plan last month, we noted that the true test will be in its execution. Part of the responsibility is on the AI sector itself.

To help drive engagement from the AI community, we’ve joined Phoenix Court, Faculty, Founders at the University of Cambridge, and other ecosystem players as a partner on the AI Forum.

The first meeting of the AI Forum brought together 68 leaders from across the ecosystem – researchers, startup founders, policy experts, civil society, and government officials. Attendees broke into six groups to focus on the key pillars of the plan: Infrastructure, Data, Talent & Skills, Governance, Go-To-Market, and how to ensure the UK is a nation of AI “makers.”

The next meetings of the AI Forum will take place on 30 April, 1 July, and 19 November. Whether you’re working on infrastructure, talent development, building AI models, or thinking about governance, now’s your chance to get involved.

The Action Plan sets an ambitious vision for UK leadership. You can help shape the next phase of the UK’s AI journey through a community survey.

What’s Up?
We’ve just launched our WhatsApp community. With a network of well over 10,000 entrepreneurs and even more people supporting them, this is a bit of a leap into the unknown.

You’ll see that there are a few groups already active there which are ongoing projects. Please feel free to request to join them, although there will be a more formal process for accepting people for privacy reasons. Do also feel free to suggest new groups. It’s going to be a process of trial and error (hopefully not too many of the latter).

As well as sharing updates, we’re going to use the groups to source ideas for those at the coalface. Managing a community requires a lot of work, so we’re weighing up the value of partnering with organisations, companies and individuals who can help us run specific groups.

In summary: join our community today and drop me an email if you want to help us run a group.

Please note that if you join the community, only The Entrepreneurs Network will be able to view your phone number, but if you are accepted to a specific group, your number will be visible to the other members of that group.

Three Big Ideas #20

Three Big Ideas is our weekly roundup of ideas (and our takes on them) in entrepreneurship, innovation, science and technology, handpicked by the team.

In this week, Eamonn Ives discusses how to ensure policy change doesn’t simply create business uncertainty, Anastasia Bektimirova explains why staying ahead in sensor tech advances is critical, and Philip Salter makes the case for unbundling universities.

Three Big Ideas #20

⁉️ Eamonn Ives, Research Director

Sometimes governments make decisions that actively impede the private sector – be it hiking corporate taxes or cutting off immigration pathways for skilled migrants. Quite rightly, these are usually met with criticism from businesses and trade groups alike.

But sometimes governments make decisions that should make life outright easier for the private sector, but which nevertheless draw ire from chief executives. Think here of the decision to push back the date for phasing-out the sale of new petrol vehicles, or when rules to regulate supermarket store layouts to discourage unhealthy eating were watered down. There’s nothing to stop any company who wishes to abide by the previously stated policies doing so voluntarily, yet it’s not unheard of for them to come out swinging when government changes tack.

Of course, one obvious explanation for why businesses complain is because they’re rent seeking. This theory states that incumbents actively embrace regulations if they believe it will be relatively harder for smaller competitors to comply with them – thereby allowing said incumbents to entrench their position in the market. I believe this happens more often than we’d like to admit, and as such I’ve always been rather sceptical when bosses insist on the need for ‘business certainty’.

With that being said, a recent post entitled ‘Chaos kills coordination’ by Brian Albrect got me thinking. In it, he cites compelling evidence that an increase in policy uncertainty noticeably hampers investment, production and employment. It isn’t hard to see why – particularly for risky businesses with long time horizons, if you can’t be sure what the world will look like five or ten years hence, you’d be forgiven for not taking the bet that things might pay off. In isolated cases, that’s a pity; but when it happens over and over, we all lose out considerably.

With these tensions in mind, how should governments approach regulating the business landscape? I think Brian hits the nail on the head when he writes:

“The goal isn’t to prevent all change, but to ensure changes follow predictable processes that maintain coherent and knowable rules, rather than creating arbitrary chaos. [...] Economic prosperity doesn’t require perfect policies, but it does require stable ones. A predictable, rule-based framework is what allows businesses to invest, workers to plan, and markets to function. Without it, we get paralysis, waste, and stagnation.”

📡 Anastasia Bektimirova, Head of Science and Technology

Every scientific instrument ever built, from a simple thermometer to the most sophisticated quantum sensor, expands the ways of understanding and collecting data about the world. Now, imagine an AI system that could simultaneously process data from all of these instruments or sensors, each measuring different aspects of reality. This is what Nicklas Lundblad, DeepMind’s Senior Director of Policy and Strategic Advisor, explores in his latest blog.

Nicklas writes:

“Imagine a military AI system that seamlessly integrates satellite imagery, signals intelligence, social media data, atmospheric conditions, electromagnetic signatures, seismic activity, and thousands of other data streams. This “hyper-sensorium” would enable the system to detect subtle patterns and correlations across immense and varied data spaces, revealing insights into troop movements, economic activities, and environmental changes that remain invisible to traditional, human-limited analysis. This unprecedented capability establishes a significant strategic asymmetry. Nations or organizations capable of building and controlling these advanced sensor networks would obtain a fundamentally different, deeper understanding of reality compared to those that rely solely on conventional sensors.”

With enough foresight, winners in this new frontier will gain economic and geopolitical advantages, while losers will fall behind. “Sensory competition,” as Nicklas writes, could mean new arms races, where success depends on who can best sense, understand, and respond to global developments.

It’s therefore reassuring to see that ARIA is ahead of the curve on this. The projects funded through its Scoping Our Planet opportunity space focus on innovative approaches to monitoring our planet. Each of them demonstrates just how granular data could get if the measurement tools allow. For example, one project will develop portable sensors that can fingerprint methane emissions in real-world conditions rather than just laboratories, while another one will use light from natural and artificial sources to create dense networks of sensors for monitoring cloud formation. Each new sensor type, every improvement in sensitivity or coverage, and their integration with conventional data sources, will unlock insights that were previously impossible.

🎓 Philip Salter, Founder

Unbundling is a familiar concept in technology, where Google Docs, Slack, Notion, Zoom and Dropbox have replaced Microsoft Office. But it’s not just tech where you can find it. Seemingly impenetrable institutions are being dismantled and reimagined in everything from banking, communications, defence, healthcare or transportation. Even religion has seen worship, education, community support and moral guidance split from established institutions.

In 'Unbundling the University’, Ben Reinhardt of Speculative Technologies thinks higher education should be next. He observes how universities have steadily accumulated a disparate number of roles – from moral instruction for young people to becoming a real-world dating site (and everything in between). For Reinhardt, the university bundle is like expecting every coffee shop to also include a “laundromat, a bookstore, and a karaoke bar.”

Reinhardt’s main area of interest lies in pre-commmercial technological research. He makes the case that breakthroughs here can happen much more effectively in a new institution: “Academia’s core structures and incentives revolve around education and scientific inquiry, not building useful technologies.”

He doesn’t pull any punches, describing universities as the most bureaucratic institutions in the world. He notes that tech transfer offices can drag out negotiations over draconian licensing terms for months or years: “These are not serious people.”

Reinhardt’s solution?

“A place for people with brilliant ideas to build atom-based technologies that won’t necessarily work as high-margin startups; to start projects that don’t necessarily fit into a specific bucket. These projects could evolve smoothly into bigger programs, baby Focused Research Organisations, or nascent companies; all united by a common mission to unlock the future.”

Find out more about Focused Research Organisations (FROs) in A New Model for Science, which we published alongside Convergent Research and the Tony Blair Institute.

Lost Youth

Last Sunday, Home Secretary Yvette Cooper ruled out plans to negotiate a Youth Mobility Scheme with the European Union. Let’s hope others in the Government convince her otherwise.

It won’t come as a surprise to regular readers that we support youth mobility. As we argued in Job Creators: 2024, since leaving the EU, we’ve made it unnecessarily hard for a relatively well-educated and skilled population with a broadly common set of values, culture and interests to contribute to our economy and forge ties with the UK.

Britain already has Youth Mobility Schemes – which allow those aged between 18-30 years old (or 18-35, depending on the country) to easily come and work in the UK – with many countries, including Australia, New Zealand, Canada, San Marino, Monaco, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, Uruguay and Taiwan.

When weighing up the economics, it’s something of a no-brainer. Youth Mobility Schemes help address labour shortages, ease inflationary pressures and support economic growth. They drive innovation, internationalisation and exporting for firms that employing these young people. By the Home Office’s own calculations, the average contribution of Youth Mobility visa holders to the exchequer in direct and indirect taxes annually is £10,000 today (adjusted for inflation).

Beyond economic benefits, the scheme promotes cultural exchange, strengthens international ties, enhances the UK’s soft power and fosters long-term collaboration that can lead to more economic benefits through future foreign direct investment.

But what about the politics of all this?

Well, nearly seven in ten Brits – including 55% of Leave voters – would support a scheme that would allow 200,000 18- to 40-year-olds from the UK and EU to travel, study and work freely in each other’s countries for up to four years.

And while the Conservatives – with Reform on their backs – will be unlikely to endorse the move, former Chancellor George Osborne makes the point on Political Currency that in negotiating a business-friendly arrangement with the EU, the Labour Party would set a trap for his Party. After all, the changes will be cemented in by the election, meaning Conservative opposition to them would put the Party at odds with Britain’s powerful business lobby.

Of course, the net migration figures terrify the Government. However, just 23,000 people came to the UK on Youth Mobility Visas in 2023, with as many young Brits going the other way (particularly to Australia). Also, most of these schemes are capped – Uruguay at 500 people, Canada at 8,000, and Australia at 45,000. We could negotiate for a capped EU Youth Mobility Visa scheme to offset the political risk associated with unexpectedly large numbers.

Nuclear Options
Keir Starmer has vowed to “rip up the rulebook” to accelerate new nuclear power, including small modular reactors (SMRs), which promise faster and cheaper deployment than traditional gigawatt-scale plants.

Reforms include increasing the number of sites on which power stations can be located, widely seen as one of the most important things for the industry, setting up a Nuclear Regulatory Taskforce (see here for more on this), and better aligning the UK with international partners so reactor designs approved abroad could be green-lit more quickly.

This was music to our ears, and surely to those of Britain’s energy-intensive businesses too. In Small Wonders, our Research Director Eamonn Ives’ number one recommendation was around increasing the number of sites, and he also recommended international mutual recognition.

Far be it for us to look a gift policy in the mouth, but we would add that this should just be the start. We also proposed allowing local authorities which approve the construction of new nuclear power stations to capture more of the business rates they pay, and increasing the resourcing of the nuclear regulators to deal with more applications.

Regardless, a nuclear renaissance in Britain has never looked so likely.

Getting to Know You
If you scroll down you’ll see we’ve got lots of events in the pipeline. Some of these are close to full already, so if you want earlier invites, you’ll need to spend a couple of minutes telling us a bit about you and the sorts of events you want to be invited to.

As part of our growing activities, we’re also looking for new places around the country to host us. If you or your company would like to partner with us, drop us an email.

Breaking Barriers
The Disability Policy Centre are conducting a new project around disabled CEOs and business leaders, for which they’re interviewing entrepreneurs across a range of businesses.

Do you know someone who has a great story to tell about the barriers they faced in getting to the top and how they’re working to remove them? If so, feel free to drop Chloe and Louie a line.

Three Big Ideas #19

Three Big Ideas is our weekly roundup of ideas (and our takes on them) in entrepreneurship, innovation, science and technology, handpicked by the team.

In this week, Eamonn Ives takes stock of President Trump’s latest barrage of tariffs, Anastasia Bektimirova discusses bridging the science-policy gap, and Jessie May Green examines what DeepSeek’s ultra-efficient AI model could mean for future energy demand.

Three Big Ideas #19

Eamonn Ives, Research Director

Long before Donald Trump was returned to the White House, the world knew to brace itself for international trade tensions. On Saturday, the United States’ President made good on his promise to introduce fresh tariffs – levying an additional 25% tariff on Canada and Mexico, and a 10% one on China. President Trump has also declared that tariffs will “definitely” be imposed on the European Union too.

After rushed conversations with the leaders of Mexico and Canada, in which they agreed to do more to tighten border security and tackle illicit drugs production, America has since ‘paused’ tariffs against their countries for a month. While this will be a light reprieve, what’s undeniable is that we’ve been plunged into a new era of precarious mercantilism.

Amid the first skirmishes in the unfolding trade war, the United Kingdom seems to have emerged relatively unscathed. Though President Trump has accused Britain of being “out of line” on trade, he added that things “can be worked out.” Exporters here will no doubt breathe a sigh of relief at that news, and some might even sense an opportunity to supply attractively priced goods to the US market – at least relative to their European competitors if they likely end up burdened by tariffs. Should blanket tariffs simply cause the dollar to appreciate against sterling – as indeed it already is – that’ll, ironically, incentivise Americans to increase their appetite for imports.

With all that being said, the last thing I want to come across as is optimistic. Tariffs really are still a dumb idea. The Tax Foundation’s Erica York has estimated these new levies would decrease the size of the US economy by 0.4%. Beyond that, tariffs shrink global markets, and consequently make the entire world a less productive, less innovative, and ultimately poorer place. As we’re already seeing in this instance with China, tariffs are seldom implemented in isolation – countries tend to retaliate with countermeasures of their own, further pushing us into a trade doom loop. And while the UK may be getting a comparatively easy ride from President Trump for now, how confident can anyone be that he won’t simply change his mind tomorrow? I would forgive most British executives for being bearish in their reading of the situation.

Economists near unanimously agree that tariffs are bad. It’s good that Britain has so far dodged a bullet, but to think that makes us a winner would be most misguided.

🌁 Anastasia Bektimirova, Head of Science and Technology

Last year, I asked Dame Angela McLean, the Government Chief Scientific Adviser, about the biggest obstacles she saw in achieving a more productive relationship between academia and government.

Her reply was threefold. First, lengthy timelines. Research is unlikely to feed into policy in a timely manner if peer reviews take months, followed by more months for academic journals to publish accepted articles. Second, language barriers that leave the two camps lost in translation. Third, the culture of disagreement, which is a large part of academic training and ways of working. You can only get so far when deliberation focuses mainly on why ideas won’t work. Debate in academic and policy work is crucial, but you need to get things done at some point too.

Last week, UKRI opened a funding call to develop the policy-to-research infrastructure that would facilitate policymakers’ engagement with researchers and support evidence-based policymaking. The aim is to enhance public and civil servants’ scientific skills and their ability to access and apply evidence by increasing opportunities for engagement with the research community.

While the primary goals here are welcome, the valuable spillover effects that could occur are what most excite me. This could organically encourage systemic adjustments in academia, promoting more policy-relevant work and a clearer understanding of what research outputs the government actually finds useful – and how the academic system, including its incentive structure, needs to be adjusted to be more conducive to this.

For some more food for thought on the topic, here’s a perspective from Tom Kalil, CEO of Renaissance Philanthropy and former Deputy Director for Policy at the White House Office for Science and Technology under Presidents Bill Clinton and Barack Obama:

“If I were a university president, and I had a public policy school, I would want to give professors the option of having tenure and promotion based on real-world impact, not just how many highly cited publications they had. I wouldn’t mandate that, but I would make it opt-in. In many cases, when you do see faculty doing this type of work, they’re doing it in spite of, as opposed to because of, the incentive structures that they face. I think there’s a lot more we could be doing to encourage faculty to work on real-world problems.”

🔋 Jessie May Green, Researcher

DeepSeek, according to some, has given us AI’s ‘Sputnik moment’. Last week, word spread that the development of its R1 model cost a fraction of other notable equivalents, with fewer training hours creating greater efficiency. This sent shockwaves. DeepSeek swiftly unseated ChatGPT as the App Store’s most-downloaded free app, and panic ensued in the stock markets as investors questioned the valuations of other AI developers.

While bad news for competitor shareholders, some say DeepSeek may represent good news for the climate. Projections for AI’s energy needs are concerning. Some estimate that AI could absorb 75% of additional power in the US through to 2035, and President Trump is fast tracking fossil fuel power plants to meet the demand. In theory, DeepSeek’s efficiency brings hope that we can have powerful AI without ramping up greenhouse gas emissions.

In practice, this may turn out to be a fallacy. Though fewer training hours may reduce electricity consumption in the short-term, this would be unlikely to last. As explained by the Jevons Paradox, when a resource becomes more efficient to use, energy demands and costs do reduce, but then demand increases, and thus overall resource consumption goes up.

Thankfully, AI electricity demand projections may not be realised but ‘expect the best, prepare for the worst’, as they say. The projections only reinforce the requirement to decarbonise energy and ensure that power is clean at the source. If only nuclear fusion could get its boots on.