Foreign Exchange

Every year we ask a simple question: where were the founders of Britain’s fastest-growing companies born?

This year, Job Creators 2026, in partnership with Penningtons Manches Cooper, found that 54 of the UK’s 100 fastest-growing companies have at least one foreign-born founder or co-founder. The part that those born outside the UK play at the very pinnacle of entrepreneurship is beyond dispute.

And they are weighted towards the biggest hitters. Drawing on Beauhurst data, those 54 companies are worth a combined £15.84 billion, 70% of the total for the top 100.

Of the 225 founders behind the top 100, 98 (44%) were born overseas. That’s up from 42% last year and more than double the foreign-born share of the population. They hail from 35 countries across six continents. The US is the most common birthplace, followed by Italy, then Germany and India. No single country accounts for more than a tenth. Most of the 54 are built alongside British-born founders — 29 were started by British-born and foreign-born co-founders together.

I wrote up the findings for Forbes this week, and the founders we interviewed make the case better than any statistic.

Alexandra Birch-Mayne, the South African-born co-founder of Edinburgh’s Aveni, co-authored a 2016 paper on byte pair encoding, a technique whose variants are now used in most large language models.

“Birch-Mayne credits her background with her drive: ‘I don’t trust that I will be OK. I pursue opportunities vigorously because I do not have extended family or resources to back me up, and culturally in South Africa that kind of behavior is common.’ … Her verdict on the immigration system is blunt. ‘It has been very expensive and unfriendly to people who are high value and can bring a lot of money to the UK.’”

Tamar Gomez came from France for a PhD at Imperial College London and built Ankar AI here rather than in Paris, for the engineers, the investors and the path into the US market. Her co-founder’s visa needed a third-party endorsement and annual progress reviews.

“Gomez points to an oddity in the system: ‘It’s easier for us as a company to sponsor skilled workers than it was for my co-founder to get a visa. Our skilled workers get a visa way quicker than my co-founder did, which is a bit counterintuitive when you think about it.’”

Tim Chong moved from Australia in 2018, picked London over New York and co-founded the rewards credit card company Yonder after finding that, without a UK credit report, he was an undesirable customer despite a good job and a great credit score back home.

“When his application for indefinite leave to remain was held up by processing delays, the government’s Global Talent Taskforce stepped in to resolve it. ‘Without their help, the uncertainty would have significantly impacted the business,’ Chong says.”

The immediate problem is uncertainty. Last November’s consultation on earned settlement proposed doubling the standard wait from five years to ten for most work visas. It closed in February with more than 200,000 responses, but founders are still waiting to hear how it will affect them.

The case for sweeping restrictions has weakened. Net migration has fallen from a peak of 944,000 to 171,000 in 2025, its lowest level since 2012 outside the pandemic. As Pat Saini, head of immigration at Penningtons Manches Cooper, says: “When uncertainty persists, it becomes harder for entrepreneurs to commit fully to building their future in the UK.”

The report’s first recommendation is simple. Publish the consultation response, with a firm start date. Beyond that, we call for Graduate visa holders to get an extra 12 months while an endorsing body assesses their business for the Innovator Founder visa. We also recommend opening the High Potential Individual visa to graduates of INSEAD, HEC Paris, IIT Delhi and Dartmouth. High visa costs are a false economy, putting off those with their pick of countries: a founder moving with a partner and two children pays £18,694. We argue for bringing those costs down for founders and their first hires.

We also recommend replacing the Innovator Founder visa’s “new and innovative” test with one of viability and growth, and making processing times binding. And we propose stress-testing new visa routes before they launch, rather than opening them, watching them get abused and shutting them down.

None of this would increase net migration, and almost all of it could be done without new legislation. As Tamar Gomez said in her case study:

“If you have a good education, a great professional track record, a company with some form of investment already — in the millions of pounds — it should be easier.”

Seven Up

Thank you to everyone who has already filled in our Entrepreneurs Survey. If you haven’t, there are fewer than two weeks until John Healey delivers his first Budget. The survey asks which changes you would most and least like to see, and what you expect the Budget to mean for your business.

Previous waves have already shifted the debate on tax. After the 2024 Budget, seven in ten founders told us they knew another entrepreneur considering leaving the UK. That kind of evidence only exists when founders tell us. It takes under seven minutes and you can answer anonymously. The results go to ministers, officials and journalists. Take the survey here or click below. Extra kudos to those who forward it, or share it on social media or in a founders’ WhatsApp group.

Have your say

Way Founders

We have recently revamped our Support for UK Entrepreneurs page and would be keen to know what’s missing. We send it to every founder who signs up through our website, and share one section here each week with over 13,000 readers — scroll down for this week’s, on funding — so we want it to be as good as it can be. Drop me an email with your ideas.a

Transfer Window

Andy Burnham told the Innovation Nation Summit in Manchester this morning that the Government will legislate so that startups and scale-ups can hire who they want without non-compete clauses standing in the way. He called it “the Bosman ruling for the innovation sector”. More details will come in the Budget on 28 October. Thank you to all of you who backed the Free to Start and Scale letter, which we signed and which I wrote about last week.

Burnham also said Britain cannot afford for its startups to sell up rather than scale, and that more is needed on tax to keep founders here. As if by magic, today we open our new Entrepreneurs Survey with Public First, asking founders which tax changes they would most like to see at the Budget.

It takes under seven minutes, and the results go to the ministers, officials and journalists shaping policy for founders.

Have your say

Built Regardless

On Wednesday we published the Female Founder Ambition Series Report, kindly supported by the Jessica Vollman Foundation and drawing on roundtables and a run of interviews.

As Sarah Vollman, Primary Advisor at the Jessica Vollman Foundation, said:

“The founders described a system that wasn’t designed with them in mind, and the ingenuity it took to build successful businesses regardless.

“Many of these barriers affect all small firms, but for female founders they compound. A founder who bootstraps can age out of SEIS [the Seed Enterprise Investment Scheme] before she ever pitches an investor. One who pays herself a £5,000 salary to avoid employer National Insurance can get less than half the maternity pay of a founder on £12,570, and miss out on 30 hours of funded childcare.

“Modest, workable changes within the current framework would close many of these gaps. Progress should be measured by whether female founders find the system easier to navigate, not by the number of initiatives announced.”

The Jessica Vollman Foundation was introduced to us by our Adviser Kajal Sanghrajka. Kajal was Jessica’s friend and business partner. Mike Vollman, Jessica’s father and an Adviser, describes the series as honouring his daughter’s legacy, which you can read about here. Thank you to all the founders who took part in the series, many of whom are Members of the Female Founders Forum. As Kajal said at the launch on Wednesday, “we’re only just getting started.”

Speakers’ Corner

We are pleased to reveal who’s opening our next two report launches. Job Creators 2026, with Penningtons Manches Cooper on what international talent contributes to Britain’s entrepreneurial ecosystem, will be opened on Wednesday 14 October by Max Wilkinson MP, Liberal Democrat Home Affairs Spokesperson, and Joshua Reynolds MP, Liberal Democrat Investment and Trade Spokesperson.

A week later, Starting Out and Starting Up, with Sage on the rise of self-employment, will be opened in the House of Lords by the Rt Hon Kanishka Narayan MP, Minister for AI.

I hope to see some of you there.

Three Big Ideas #71

⚗️ Mann Virdee, Head of Science and Technology

In 1662, the newly chartered Royal Society of London appointed the natural philosopher Robert Hooke its first Curator of Experiments. Its Fellows had no shortage of questions about the natural world. What the Society lacked was someone whose job it was to test them.

Hooke was expected to bring three or four experiments to every meeting and to try out those the Fellows proposed. He was extraordinarily productive. He built the air pump for Robert Boyle’s experiments on the ‘spring of the air’, the work that led to Boyle’s law. He coined the word ‘cell’ after seeing them through a microscope of his own design. But even Hooke could not keep up with the Fellows’ ideas.

More than 350 years later, AI may be recreating Hooke’s problem.

That’s the implication of AI in Science: Early Insights, a new study by researchers at Google, Google DeepMind and MIT FutureTech. It draws on around 15 million Gemini interactions, more than 2,600 specialised scientific models and a survey of 637 researchers in the US and UK.

Scientists are big users of AI. In the US, science occupations turn up in Gemini conversations about 2.7 times as often as their share of employment would suggest. Nearly half of those surveyed use AI daily, and the average respondent saves almost seven hours a week.

But the bottleneck in scientists’ workflow hasn’t so much disappeared as shifted: 44% say their main constraint has shifted downstream over the past two years, into lab work, clinical validation and field data collection. This research finds that physical experimentation and data collection is now the most commonly cited constraint, named by 24%. And 41% report a growing backlog of untested hypotheses, against a quarter whose backlog has shrunk.

The survey isn’t necessarily representative, and the authors rightly point out that AI enthusiasts may be more likely to respond. But both the downstream shift and the growing backlog are strongly correlated with how intensively respondents use AI. As the authors put it, AI may have increased the number of viable hypotheses, but not necessarily the means to test them.

Perhaps a more interesting finding is about the direction rather than speed of scientific research. Almost half (49%) say AI is steering them towards safer, more incremental projects, against 28% who say it lets them take on riskier questions. The authors suggest a possible ‘streetlight effect’. AI lowers the cost of tractable, data-rich problems the most, so riskier questions, where data is scarce and validation is physical and expensive, get crowded out.

We might assume the scarce ingredient in science is ideas. This paper suggests this is becoming less true. What’s scarce now is the modern Curator of Experiments. That is, the labs, instruments, technicians and automated facilities that test hypotheses. As AI makes the easy-to-test questions cheaper first, it also shapes which questions get asked.

🔍 Philip Salter, Founder

In March, Innovate UK published a new prospectus that reorients it towards deep tech in priority sectors, as those who came to our Audience with Tom Adeyoola, Executive Chair of Innovate UK, will know (better than most). Central to the pitch is for Innovate UK to become a “trusted due diligence engine” for the UK’s deep tech ecosystem.

Last month, the Innovation and Research Caucus published Science as Substrate. Written by Nesta’s Innovation Growth Lab, it links 29,262 Innovate UK projects to a global corpus of over 40 million papers and classifies each research topic as niche, emerging, active or mature. Since 2020, 90% of the AI funding it could classify has gone to projects built on slow-growing niche or mature topics, while the fastest-growing parts of the AI literature attract almost no funding.

Several of the “AI” topics are broad catch-alls, and the authors note that Innovate UK has rarely said what research maturity it is aiming for. Even so, the finding shows why a sharper deep tech strategy matters.

Science as Substrate also points to a deeper problem. Innovate UK doesn’t publish what happens to the companies it funds, so outcomes have to be reconstructed after the fact by outside researchers from company filings and commercial databases.

When an earlier Caucus study tried this, 13,500 of its 59,048 grants couldn’t be traced to a company at all, because the registration numbers were missing or wrong. The same report found a mixed picture on impact: Innovate UK-funded firms grew faster in employment and turnover and patented more, but there was no clear effect on productivity, and funded firms were more likely to go insolvent, which the authors suggest may reflect riskier ventures.

Innovate UK knows how to fix this. In 2018 it committed to tracking outputs and expected outcomes for every project it funds. Its own evaluation framework calls randomised trials the most robust method, and it has allocated innovation vouchers by lottery, with an evaluation designed alongside the Innovation Growth Lab, the team behind Science as Substrate.

We made a similar case last year in Full Speed Ahead, our report on Britain’s 500-plus accelerators and incubators. We called for a dual-track assessment that follows both how companies perform and how founders develop. The same applies to Innovate UK: it should track outcomes for every company it backs under the new strategy. It should also avoid turning any single number, such as follow-on investment, into a target.

The prospectus has the logic right. Deep tech is hard to invest in because the risk is technical, and Innovate UK can call on technical assessors most investors can’t. Its endorsement could end up worth more to a company than the grant itself. For that to happen, Innovate UK needs the data to show how its picks have done, and Science as Substrate shows how far it has to go.

🗺️ Ian Ng, Researcher

Successive governments have banged the drum about regional inequality, from Boris Johnson’s levelling up to Andy Burnham’s “good growth in every postcode”. That ambition now runs through every corner of government, including public procurement and innovation policy.

The 2025 Industrial Strategy called itself “unashamedly place-based”. In the same year’s Spending Review, Keir Starmer’s Government committed £86 billion to R&D over four years, rising from £20.4 billion in 2025-26 to £22.6 billion by 2029-30. So it is tempting for the Government to kill two birds with one stone: why not focus innovation funding on left-behind places?

New research by Johan P Larsson and Johan Grip suggests the two goals pull against each other: mission-oriented innovation policy may inherently exacerbate regional imbalances. Missions concentrate resources where a breakthrough is most likely, which tends to mean cities and established hubs. Cities benefit from the agglomeration of talent, capital and institutions such as universities, hospitals and major firms.

The cycle is self-reinforcing: early concentrations attract further investment, talent and institutions. And because missions are, at their core, about accelerating progress, money flows most easily to places that can absorb it quickly and show visible results within short timeframes; most lagging regions lack that absorptive capacity. The researchers conclude that if missions succeed, their benefits concentrate in hubs and cities; if they fail, the money will still have acted as an expensive stimulus for those same places.

UK funding already follows this pattern. UKRI, the UK’s largest public research funder, spent only half of its money outside the Greater South East in 2023-24, while ARIA concentrated two-thirds of its funding in London, the South East and the East of England.

I have written about the dangers of ‘everythingism’ in the previous edition and the edition before last, so I won’t repeat it here. As former Science Minister Lord Vallance put it, curiosity-driven research must be funded purely on excellence, excellence will always cluster, and funding should “absolutely not” be spread evenly.

To argue otherwise is cakeism: it abandons funding on excellence and undermines the value-for-money case for spending public money on research. I fully accept that the Treasury could spend money to support left-behind places, but the Government should be honest that innovation funding is the wrong tool for it.

There is one caveat. When Britain’s cities were built through decades of agglomeration of talent, institutions and capital, demand for clean energy on the scale AI requires had not yet appeared on the horizon. This is the logic behind AI Growth Zones, which use faster planning and grid access, rather than research grants, to steer data centres towards places with abundant clean energy.

The North Wales AI Growth Zone is the prime example. Anglesey is not known for attracting talent or capital, but its geography could give it new life. Wylfa will host Britain’s first three Rolls-Royce small modular reactors, due to supply the grid from the mid-2030s. Off Holy Island to the west, the Morlais tidal scheme is preparing to put its first devices in the water. Offshore wind farms in the Irish Sea off the North Wales coast add further capacity, and the Growth Zone’s Prosperity Parc site on Anglesey is earmarked for data centres. This is the reindustrialisation of the 21st century.

But geography alone won’t do the job. In July 2025, the Government rejected zonal pricing and kept a single national wholesale electricity price, so a data centre next to Wylfa pays the same wholesale price as one on the outskirts of London. The Government addressed the problem with electricity discounts for data centres in AI Growth Zones. Rather than ministers deciding region by region who gets cheap power, locational pricing would let abundant clean energy pull investment towards it. The Government should be clear-eyed that innovation funding in itself cannot level up left-behind places, but the factors that determine a growth hub may have changed.

APPG for Entrepreneurship APPG for Entrepreneurship Newsletter: October 2026

Neither House of Parliament sits again until next week. But with the Budget looming large on 28 October, we couldn’t resist a newsletter before the end of the conference recess.

There is always a fair amount of speculation ahead of a Budget, which impacts the behaviour of entrepreneurs well before the Chancellor utters a word. In a new report, Tax Policy Associates estimates that around £45 billion of gains were brought forward ahead of the October 2024 Budget, helping push 2024–25 taxable gains to a record £127 billion, 82% above the year before.

That might sound like a windfall for the Treasury. But those gains would otherwise have been realised over the following years and taxed at 24%; instead they were taxed at 20%, at an estimated cost of £1.4 billion to £2.4 billion. Dan Neidle, founder of Tax Policy Associates, expects the same happened before the 2025 Budget, and that it is happening again now. Nor is the instability new. Over successive governments, the headline capital gains tax rate has been raised, cut, raised again, and split into multiple sub-rates.

Research has found that Brexit uncertainty reduced business investment. More broadly, the academic literature shows that periods of high policy uncertainty coincide with lower business formation, investment and innovation.

After the 2025 Budget, the then Chancellor told the Treasury Committee there had been too much speculation and too many leaks, much of it inaccurate and very damaging. A leak inquiry followed.

Leaks aren’t the only problem, though. Newspapers, think tanks, business and lobby groups can fall into the habit of driving speculation. Sometimes it’s to head off changes they oppose. But sometimes it’s because taking credit for stopping a measure is a way to demonstrate influence, even when the measure was never really on the table.

This is familiar ground for the APPG. Back in 2018, our report on Tax Reform included cross-party forewords from Liam Byrne MP (Labour), then Chair of the APPG for Entrepreneurship, and Colin Clark MP (Conservative), who wrote that the Treasury and HMRC must ensure policy “has longevity”. The report found uncertainty over the Annual Investment Allowance (AIA) made it hard for firms to plan investments spanning three to four years. Since then, the 2022 Autumn Statement set the AIA at £1 million permanently, full expensing was made permanent in 2023, and both were confirmed in the 2024 Corporate Tax Roadmap.

In 2023, our APPG report Funding to Flourish argued that uncertainty about the future of the Enterprise Investment Scheme (EIS) and Venture Capital Trusts (VCTs) was already having a negative impact, because founders couldn’t plan fundraising rounds without knowing whether the schemes would survive their 2025 sunset clause. The report was launched in the Lords with Lord Leigh and the then Shadow Business Minister, Bill Esterson. The 2023 Autumn Statement extended both schemes to 6 April 2035, with support from both sides of the House, giving entrepreneurs and investors certainty about their future.

More recently, founders at our evidence session on R&D tax relief described years of near-constant change creating a chilling effect on legitimate claims. Unlike the AIA and EIS/VCTs, R&D relief has had no lasting commitment to stability in its rules. As the cases above show, stability commitments can be delivered and kept across governments.

Governments of all hues have used roadmaps to reduce speculation. Examples include the Coalition’s 2010 Corporate Tax Road Map, the 2016 Business Tax Road Map and the Corporate Tax Roadmap 2024. Their record is mixed, but each was an attempt to give business a clearer view of the years ahead.

In 2017, Better Budgets, a report by the Chartered Institute of Taxation, the Institute for Government and the Institute for Fiscal Studies, argued for one main fiscal event a year and a more open process. Some of its authors have since said tax policy making has gone backwards.

No government will tie its hands on every tax, but there is no reason Chancellors can’t commit to stability on most business taxes for the length of a Parliament, and rule out ideas they have no intention of adopting.

Whichever Chancellor manages to quell business uncertainty, now or in future, will find entrepreneurs ready to invest, hire and build the growth every party says it wants.

Advisory Board Update

Latest news, research and events from our Advisory Board

The Entrepreneurs Network is hosting three report launches in October. On 7 October, it launches the JVF Female Founder Ambition Series report, which examines the barriers female founders face across the full lifecycle of building a business. Job Creators 2026, produced with Penningtons Manches Cooper and launching on 14 October, looks at foreign-born founders building Britain’s fastest-growing businesses.

On 21 October, it launches Starting Out and Starting Up: Making self-employment a route into work for young people. The Entrepreneurs Network is also heading to Oxford on 15 October for an informal morning meetup for Ecosystem Builders.

London Life Sciences Week 2026 will be held from 15 to 20 November, bringing together the global life sciences community for a week of events, showcases, breakthrough innovations, investment opportunities and networking.

Beauhurst Insights has published two new reports. Unlocking Value from AI, produced with BGF, looks inside growth businesses, while Financing the Future, produced with Barclays Eagle Labs and Barclays’ Group Policy Development team, examines the role international capital plays in helping UK companies grow.

Universities UK is conducting a survey to understand the key decisions made by innovators, entrepreneurs and investors, and the policies they need.

The Enterprise Research Centre (ERC) will present the results from its Longitudinal Small Business Survey on 18 November at The Shard, reflecting on trends over 11 years of data. It is also holding its annual conference on the State of Small Business in Britain on 1 December, focusing this year on small businesses and local economic resilience. Separately, the ERC has just published What determines the mobility of university spinouts? An interview-based study of spinouts in the Midlands.

Free Rein

As members of our growing WhatsApp community will already know, we backed and pointed entrepreneurs in our network in the direction of two letters from different corners of our ecosystem this week. Both have something in common that should pique the interest of the Chancellor — they’re about removing friction rather than spending money.

The Free to Start and Scale letter argues outdated employment practices are holding back Britain’s start-ups and scale-ups. In March 2025 I wrote about Nando de Freitas posting on X arguing Europe should copy California in banning non-competes. This week, he was a founding signatory of a letter calling for exactly that. As the letter argues:

“Labour mobility is a classic collective action problem. Competition for technology talent is fierce, and no company wants to lose out. Not all start-ups and scale-ups can unilaterally disarm, when the dominant technology companies use contractual restrictions to make competing harder. But the current status quo is bad for workers, businesses, and the British economy.”

To be clear, non-competes aren’t a priori bad. It’s really an empirical question. But one where the evidence points towards a ban. Enforceability does give firms a reason to invest in people and ideas, raising intangible investment by around 8%. But innovation has more inputs than company investment, and non-competes suppress mobility and new firm formation, which the evidence suggests matters more. After all, as Mann Virdee argued, Silicon Valley hasn’t done too badly from California’s 1872 law against enforcing non-compete clauses.

In 2023, the Government rejected a ban and settled on a three-month statutory cap. The cap was never legislated. Instead, in November last year the Department for Business and Trade went back to the beginning, publishing a working paper on four options including an outright ban. The Competition and Markets Authority responded in February by backing reform.

Read the letter and add your name here.

The second letter, organised by Odin, calls for a UK Exempt Reporting Advisor regime. It’s prohibitively expensive to start a VC fund in the UK. A $10 million US fund loses roughly 4.5% of commitments to admin and compliance over its life; the UK equivalent can reach 14%. This goes some way to explaining why the median US venture fund was $21 million in 2024 against £70 million in the UK.

Today a new fund manager needs the Financial Conduct Authority’s permission before raising a penny, or has to rent it from a firm that already has it. Odin’s proposal is that a narrow category — funds that don’t borrow, that lock investors in for a fixed term, and that raise only from institutions and sophisticated investors — should simply have to notify the regulator instead.

Read, sign and respond to the consultation here.

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Daisy Chain

Daisy Cooper MP, Deputy Leader and Treasury Spokesperson for the Liberal Democrats, has written inviting you to respond to the party’s Plan to Get Britain Growing Again. It covers investment, enterprise, innovation and trade, and proposes a new Department for Growth bringing together economic, tax, business and trade policy. Feedback goes through a short form.

To be clear, we would circulate this sort of opportunity for any party, and have done so. Our job is to get founders in front of whoever is drafting the policy. If you have a particular allegiance, say so when you join us — we sometimes pass things on directly to a party, and it helps to know who wants what.

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Rates of Passage

The Budget is on 28 October, the earliest since 2021. Alongside it comes the fiscal devolution roadmap, and the share of business rates that mayors will keep from April 2027.

We all know by now that this Government is committed to moving money and power out of Westminster, something we’re in favour of (as long as places keep the proceeds of growth). But there isn’t much cash sloshing about. Quite the opposite. The Government’s fiscal headroom has collapsed (again): KPMG puts it at £11.6 billion, while Deutsche Bank puts it at £8.5 billion — down from £23.6 billion.

It is being reported that Treasury officials spent a fortnight in workshops with business groups on high street tax measures, and that raising the small business rates relief threshold is a central option.

Two changes are under consideration. The first concerns who pays nothing at all. A property with a rateable value of £12,000 or less is currently exempt from business rates, with partial relief tapering away to nothing by £15,000. The proposal would lift the exemption to around £17,000 — the figure the threshold would have reached had it been uprated with inflation over the decade it has been frozen — and the taper to £20,000, taking thousands of small firms out of the tax and reducing the bills of thousands more.

The second concerns how fast bills rise for everyone else. April’s revaluation pushed some rateable values up sharply, in places by as much as 80%, and transitional relief phases those increases in. For smaller properties, this is capped at 5% this year, 10% in 2027/28 and 25% in 2028/29, plus inflation. Healey is said to be weighing a longer phase-in.

Strong arguments can be made for both changes. But business rates retention begins in April 2027, and each of these narrows the base for mayors.

The roadmap has a second question to answer. Jim O’Neill, who advised Burnham informally in recent months, has raised a caution of his own. As reported in the Financial Times (paywall), he said devolving to places that are not ready could be a recipe for disaster — noting that of 37 devolution submissions from local areas during his time as a minister, four were credible. “This is probably the single most immediate challenge they’ve got,” he added of Burnham’s team. “With a lot of local areas putting their hands up saying ‘what about me, me, me’, they’ve got to be tough about it.”

Property developer Mike Ingall, whose firm Allied London built Manchester’s Spinningfields in close partnership with the city council in the 2000s, says: “My fear is if we devolve to all the mayoral departments, towns, cities, are they good enough?” … “That’s not a criticism of everyone, it’s just a question. Will we have to go through a process of educating these other local government officials? Because my experience elsewhere is not good.”

Mike Emmerich’s review of growth-capable devolution, which reports in October, published a first paper in August detailing the problem. Where Whitehall doubts an authority’s capability, departments retain detailed controls; those controls consume local capacity; the capacity never develops; the doubts are confirmed. Across 242 urban areas in 14 European countries, the OECD found productivity higher where the quality of government is higher, with the effect strengthening as local autonomy rises — but with weak institutions, greater autonomy makes outcomes worse.

Emmerich is no sceptic. He calls the assignment of income tax particularly welcome, and argues that strategic authorities need a tax base commensurate with the role now envisaged for them. The Budget will be a test of whether the Chancellor can get the balance right.

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Data Points

Our friends at techUK have published a report bringing together chapters from different organisations on the role of technology in UK growth, covering everything from adoption and skills to regulation, data, investment and trade.

I recommend reading it in full, but I will point you specifically to the chapter from the Royal Academy of Engineering (RAEng), which was led by our Adviser (and former colleague) Anastasia Bektimirova.

The OECD’s Open, Useful and Re-usable Data Index scores the UK below the OECD average, with a particular weakness in turning available data into usable data. The UK’s three flagship data programmes — the National Data Library, Smart Data schemes and infrastructure data — are run separately by different bodies. The chapter recommends a joint delivery framework, tested on problems that need data from more than one of them.

Join us

Trinity Test

Blick Rothenberg, one of our Strategic Partners, is holding an event on Thursday, 1 October, as part of the Lloyds British Business Excellence Awards, and has asked us to share it with you.

It is a chance to hear from entrepreneurs, share experiences and make connections. It runs from 2.30pm at Ten Trinity Square Private Club in London. Register your interest here or contact Abi with any questions.

Three Big Ideas #70

📈 Philip Salter, Founder

We all know that slow growth means lower material living standards than would otherwise be the case, but what are the other consequences? Matt Clancy digs into the evidence on non-material consequences over at What’s New Under the Sun.

The work of Besley, Dann and Dray shows that faster growth goes with more trust in government and less perceived corruption, with larger effects in democracies. Slower growth explains somewhere between a quarter and two-thirds of the trust gap between American millennials and boomers. And as Acemoglu et al. show, living in a democracy only builds support for democracy when that democracy delivers.

The bigger risk for entrepreneurs is zero-sum thinking. Chinoy, Nunn, Sequeira and Stantcheva find that those who grew up in slow-growth years lean towards the view that people can only get rich at the expense of others. This isn’t confined to the left or the right: zero-sum thinkers back both more redistribution and tighter immigration, which might help explain the politics of the past decade.

Worse, this mindset sticks. Trust in government rises and falls with recent growth, but zero-sum thinking sets in early: it’s the growth you experience in your first 20 years that counts. By surveying 20,400 Americans about four generations of family history, the authors trace zero-sum thinking back through ancestors’ experiences too, including how much upward mobility they had and whether they were immigrants. A slump today can shape the outlook of voters not yet born.

That should worry Britain, where GDP per person is 29% below where it would have been had the 1955–2008 trend continued. The British 18-year-olds reading this have lived their whole lives in this economic quagmire.

For those of us who have lived a bit longer, it isn’t just rose-tinted nostalgia. Up until the financial crisis, it was reasonable to conclude that things could only get better.

Not everything shows up in the numbers, but as Eamonn Ives has argued here previously, GDP correlates with longer life expectancy, lower infant mortality, higher educational attainment, reduced extreme poverty, and many other things that matter.

Growth also keeps alive the belief that one person’s success need not be another’s loss, and without that belief, it’s hard to win the argument for rewarding the people who take risks.

🌾 Mann Virdee, Head of Science and Technology

Maris Piper, for decades Britain’s most widely grown potato, was bred by the state at the Plant Breeding Institute in Cambridge to resist potato cyst nematode. That’s also the case for much of Britain’s wheat. In fact, the institute’s wheat varieties accounted for 90% of the UK market when the government sold the Plant Breeding Institute to Unilever in 1987. The sale reflected a belief that industry, not the state, should pay for this type of near-market research.

However, private breeders find it hard to make money from wheat. As the wheat flower has both male and female parts, it pollinates itself. And because wheat seed grows into the same crop year after year, farmers can sow seeds saved from last year’s harvest. By contrast, maize has separate male and female flowers and is easy to hybridise, but seed saved from a hybrid won't grow into the same crop, so farmers have to buy fresh seeds every season. You could say hybrid maize seed is like a subscription, whereas wheat seed is a one-off sale and customers can grow their own. Without some other way to get paid, breeders have less reason to invest and innovate in non-hybrid crops such as wheat.

In 1985, the US Patent and Trademark Office ruled in Ex parte Hibberd that seeds and plants could be patented. This is the context for a new NBER working paper, Flowers of Invention, by MIT’s Jacob Moscona, who treats the ruling as a natural experiment. He compares crops such as wheat and barley (where patents in effect turned the seeds into a subscription) with crops such as maize (where hybrids had long done that naturally).

The paper finds that in the decade that followed this ruling, new variety releases for the newly protected crops more than doubled (up 119%) compared with hybrid crops, and yields rose 11%. The increase was driven by private R&D rather than public spending. Tellingly, it came from crops replanted every year or two, where a patent turns farmers into repeat customers. Farmers in counties suited to those crops spent more on seed but their land values and profits rose, meaning the better seed more than paid for itself. On the most conservative estimate, patent rights added 7.5% (roughly $80 billion) to the value of US farmland by 2002, though larger farms benefited disproportionately.

The paper’s findings now have a British test case. In July, Defra confirmed that PiperPlus, a new disease-resistant Maris Piper developed at the Sainsbury Laboratory in Norwich, qualifies as precision bred. BioPotatoes, a startup part-owned by the lab, plans to take it to market. But potatoes, like wheat, have little natural moat. Farmers can keep back tubers from one harvest to plant the next.

In the UK, new varieties are protected by plant breeders’ rights rather than patents, and these are deliberately weaker. Farmers who replant their own tubers pay only a reduced royalty and rival breeders can use protected varieties to develop new ones. That keeps seed cheaper and lets breeders build on each other’s work, but Moscona’s findings suggest the price may be less invention.

⤴️ Ian Ng, Researcher

OpenAI reportedly expects to burn through $280 billion by 2030. It is an extreme case of a familiar pattern in the startup world, where high-growth companies endure periods of losses before breaking even. Investment in equipment and talent drags cash flow down before revenue catches up, forming a J-curve if the company manages to scale.

New research by Hellmann, Montag and Tåg examines whether differences in financing capacity affect the cash flow and growth trajectories of startups. Studying the Swedish startup scene, they find that those backed by American VCs experience substantially deeper operating losses after investment, followed by higher sales from around the third year. These startups also receive more capital than their non-US VC-backed counterparts. The authors link this to US VCs having deeper pockets, as they manage on average SEK 37.3 billion more than non-US syndicates. Nationality of the VCs alone does not explain the difference in the performance of startups. The authors find that startups receiving investment from a large non-US VC show a similar combination of deeper losses, higher sales and more funding.

The authors then turn to the EU’s Scaleup Europe Fund, from which Britain is reportedly being blocked. However, we don’t start from a bad position among European countries. According to an EIB study cited in the paper, the US had 137 VC funds larger than $1 billion between 2013 and 2023, compared with 11 across the European Union and 10 in the UK alone. And some of the largest UK pension funds are considering to commit capital to a new £1 billion UK Scale-up Fund with the British Business Bank. As the research suggests, funds with sufficiently deep pockets are needed to sustain losses in the early stages.

There are pitfalls to avoid. The fund should be run on commercial terms, with the single objective of returns from scaling the best companies, rather than being loaded with the objectives that littered the government’s announcement: good growth in every postcode, reindustrialisation and so on. As with public procurement, ‘Everythingism’ tends to achieve little. There should also be no pressure to deploy the £1 billion quickly. The Centre for British Progress cites evidence that the best UK VC funds are already oversubscribed, so rushing to spend would push money down the quality ladder.

Hellmann, Montag and Tåg warn against confusing continuity of financing through years of losses with unconditional continuation. Continued financing must remain conditional on credible growth milestones, and political objectives risk muddying the waters.

The Bostrom Line

While existential risk from AI has hit the news a number of times over recent years, this is the week it finally went properly mainstream, with even the King raising concerns. It’s been a long time coming.

All the way back in 2018, when the House of Lords Select Committee on Artificial Intelligence flippantly dismissed the warnings of thinkers like Nick Bostrom, I wrote that this should be a serious concern for policymakers. At the very least, we should keep an open mind about this.

To be clear, thinking this risk is legitimate doesn’t come with a ready-made set of policies, nor does it mean that AI companies need to pause or even slow down. Some argue the opposite — that democratic countries should do everything to win this race in order to mitigate the risk of despotic countries winning.

To that end, our friends at the Centre for British Progress have just released a report looking at how the UK can lead on AI. Among other things, it recommends pricing grid capacity and opening transmission connections to competition, and letting data centres run on their own gas while they wait for the grid. It also calls for a Building Britain Act to fast-track planning in AI Growth Zones, with one environmental assessment per zone rather than per project.

Diary Notices

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Pillar Talk

The Invest in Women Taskforce has published its 2026 manifesto, Driving Lasting Change, built on five pillars: gender balance in investment policy, better representation among decision-makers, transparency, tax incentives and education. The fifth draws on Ideas to Impact, specifically our finding with Barclays through the Female Founders Forum: fewer than 8% of UK spinouts had all-women founding teams, against more than 75% all-male.

Among other things, the Taskforce calls for the seven-year Enterprise Investment Scheme (EIS) eligibility limit to be removed and a carry-forward mechanism introduced for unused EIS and Seed Enterprise Investment Scheme (SEIS) allowances. Read it here.

Leave to Trade

The Cedar Review, an independent review into refugee entrepreneurship led by Small Business Britain, has now reported. I sat on its Steering Board. People seeking asylum can’t work at all for 12 months, and after that only as employees in a narrow set of listed roles — self-employment is excluded outright at every stage, whatever the person did before they arrived. Read it here.

Sukhpal Singh Ahluwalia, who supported our first Job Creators report in 2019, is a reminder of what that contribution can look like. He arrived from Uganda in 1972 at 13, fleeing Idi Amin, and spent more than a year in temporary accommodation. He was working the markets at Petticoat Lane and Liverpool Street by 15, and in 1978 opened a single car parts shop in Willesden. Euro Car Parts eventually ran to more than 300 sites and 12,000 employees before selling in a deal reported at up to £280 million.

Board Room

When Parliament returns after the party conference season, the Advisory Board of the All-Party Parliamentary Group will resume its monthly meetings. For this group, we’re looking for those in trade and membership bodies, associations, research centres and universities, as well as think tanks and quasi-public bodies. If you’re keen to be considered, drop Mann Virdee an email.

Chasing Unicorns

John Healey gave his first big speech as Chancellor on Monday. It set out a broad vision rather than focus on detail. Nevertheless, there was much to welcome — the Fingleton Review on nuclear regulation to be delivered in full and its approach extended into other sectors; a commitment to cut the administrative burden of business regulation by 25% by the end of the Parliament; and judicial review reforms extended from energy to all major infrastructure to prevent the kinds of “vexatious legislation and vexatious litigation” that currently block economic growth.

Healey also set out a commitment to cross-economy sandboxing powers, covering pavement robots to drones to medical treatments — which is in line with what founders told us they needed when we brought together robotics founders with the Regulatory Innovation Office. There is also to be an end to what the Chancellor called the “consultation culture” at the Treasury. These are good signs, but we’ll be watching the Autumn Budget closely on 28 October for more detail. In particular, we’ll be keeping an eye out for the recommendations we submitted via the Treasury’s stakeholder portal earlier this week.

One of the lines that struck me from the speech was that the Chancellor set out “an ambition now to double the number of unicorn firms.” The Hurun UK Unicorn Index 2026 finds 80 unicorns in the UK, worth £242.4 billion, third in the world behind the United States and China, and more than Germany, France, and the Netherlands combined. Dealroom, meanwhile, says it currently tracks 205 unicorns in the UK. Tracxn finds there are 102, using a definition that keeps counting companies after they list or get bought. On top of this, the Chancellor gave no date by which this target of doubling the number of unicorns should be measured against. If a target doesn’t have a baseline or a deadline, it’s a fairly movable goal. Is the target 160, 204, 410 unicorns, or some other number altogether — and over what timeframe?

As we noted in Perennial Gale in June, revisiting Josh Lerner’s Boulevard of Broken Dreams, there are two ways for a government to help venture capital. One is to raise the demand for it by making the country somewhere worth building in. The other is to raise the supply by providing finance. Too often, we choose the latter. On Monday, we saw £150 million from the British Business Bank for scale-ups in the North, as well as a Northern 500 to convene the region’s most ambitious mid-sized firms. But as Keith Griffiths of The Entrepreneur Festival pointed out, the Government shouldn’t confuse writing cheques with creating growth. The cost of electricity, tax levels and bureaucratic burden still need to be addressed.

Healey’s speech also championed the idea of the state as early first customer. As founders have told us, a first public contract can be worth more to a startup than a grant because it’s also an endorsement. But in May we wrote about a British company knocked off G-Cloud for negative EBITDA and a light balance sheet, which describes nearly every growth-stage technology company. Officials looked at it again and reinstated the listing, and yet the rule that blocked it is still on the books. The Government cannot be a first customer when the process is designed to avoid first-time suppliers. If the Chancellor wants the state buying from the next wave, he should undo the financial-health tests that disqualify loss-making growth companies and stop marking bids on everything except the bid.

Corner Shop

Healey told his audience the economy was turning a corner. This morning’s figures have given him something to point to. Monthly GDP grew 0.4% in July, against an expectation of no growth at all, following 0.3% in June. On the three-month measure the ONS prefers, output also rose 0.4% against the three months to April (the eighth consecutive three-month rise) and was 1.3% up on the same period a year earlier.

This growth was down to services, which are up 0.6% over the three months, with professional, scientific and technical activities up 2.1% and information and communication up 2.5%. By contrast, production and construction each fell 0.5%. That’s not ideal for a speech delivered at an advanced manufacturing centre.

Three Big Ideas #69

💾 Mann Virdee, Head of Science and Technology

The year is 1978. The TV show Dallas has premiered on CBS. Over on BBC1, Grange Hill has started, and Kate Bush has released her debut single, Wuthering Heights. The UK Government under prime minister Jim Callaghan has just put £50 million into INMOS, a new semiconductor company in Bristol.

This is the UK’s industrial strategy. Public money, channelled through the recently established National Enterprise Board, to build a British chip industry from scratch. As with most chipmakers of its time, INMOS made much of its early money manufacturing memory.

But it didn’t last. INMOS opened a fabrication plant in Newport in 1982, was sold to SGS-Thomson in 1989, and by 1994 the brand was gone (although the building is still there). The Newport site passed through several owners before being bought by Nexperia, then made subject to a government divestment order on national security grounds. A US company, Vishay, acquired it in 2024.

I thought about this while reading the Semiconductor Sector Study 2026, published this summer and updated last week. On computer memory, which accounts for almost 30% of the global market and is an area where the report sees an opportunity for Britain, it warns that leading British firms face scale-up barriers that could see them move operations overseas — risking a repeat of the UK’s INMOS experience.

Semiconductor design accounts for roughly 80% of UK sector revenues. Manufacturers report that government support is concentrated on the R&D side rather than the capital-intensive work of scaling production. They also stress that high energy costs are damaging their competitiveness.

Manufacturers responding to the 2026 sector survey also reported 18% of their cleanroom floorspace as under- or unutilised, and said that absent labour constraints their production could more than double. One suggestion in the report is to look at Fraunhofer in Germany and Tyndall in Ireland, where shared facilities get long-term support for running costs, not just capital.

🛒 Ian Ng, Researcher

The Government spends roughly £400 billion a year through public procurement and much has been said about how it should use that spending to support wider policy objectives, most recently on backing home-grown innovation.

The Competition and Markets Authority published two reports on public procurement yesterday. Both are filled with case studies of the procedural burden facing SMEs. A digital startup was rejected from the G-Cloud 15 framework, the Government’s key digital marketplace, because it used a Simple Agreement for Future Equity (SAFE) contract. SAFE is commonly used by early-stage startups but in this case was mistaken by the Government as a form of debt. The Startup Coalition later identified over fifty suppliers that had been rejected for the same reason. Separately, an SME with only five employees decided against bidding for an NHS England medical equipment tender due to the administrative burden of having to publish a current Carbon Reduction Plan, undertake an Evergreen supplier assessment, complete a Modern Slavery Assessment, and undertake Cyber Essentials certification. It reported that exemptions for SMEs from some of these requirements can themselves be burdensome to complete.

Loading every tender with competing secondary objectives produces everythingism: nothing much gets achieved, and the bar rises until only firms with the manpower to tick every box can clear it. The Government should heed the CMA’s advice to narrow its priorities to a meaningful number and to be honest about the trade-offs between them. It has been striking the right tone lately, from exempting smaller tenders from social value requirements to limiting the measurement of social value to job creation, skills and local opportunities.

Every procurement review since the Procurement Act 2023 has arrived at broadly the same conclusion: the system has an incumbency bias and a preference for the safety of a giant consultancy. Since April 2025, central government departments and their arm’s-length bodies have been required to set and publish their own three-year targets for direct spend with SMEs, and to report against them annually — a weaker mechanism than a single mandated figure, and one that has so far done little to change who wins the work. The problem, as the CMA identifies, is that reform has focused on rules and processes without touching the incentives facing procurement teams. Changing the rules alone will not be enough; unless the incentives on decision-makers change too, SME targets will go the same way. British investors are already seen as more risk-averse than their US counterparts — the Government cannot afford to be the same.

📈 Sophya Mashkoor, Research Intern

Two studies published in June push back on the idea that total founder control is good and investor oversight is just friction to be minimised.

Researchers at Imperial College London and Emlyon Business School examined 12 companies across 27 US securities fraud cases brought between 2000 and 2023. A separate study from the University of Toronto looked at 654 fraud cases against US venture-backed startups over the same period. Its headline finding is that fraud remains rare overall — but that startups with founder-controlled boards were twice as likely to face fraud charges as those with investor-controlled or shared-control boards.

The Imperial and Emlyon paper’s contribution is a mechanism it calls “façading”, a slow escalation that often starts innocuously. In the first stage, surface façading, founders overstate how successful the company is or is becoming. In reinforced façading, they manufacture evidence to support those claims — one company in the study fabricated customer contracts and invoices to book revenue that did not exist, then used it to raise at a unicorn valuation. In deep façading, the deception extends to the product itself, complete with staged demos.

Investors aren’t always the victims. The researchers describe some of them setting growth expectations so aggressive that founders feel there is no honest route to hitting them. The investors who push founders towards hockey-stick projections are also the ones best placed to catch the deception that follows — but in hot markets they compete for access by conceding exactly the governance rights that would let them do it, which is how founder-controlled boards become common in the first place. The paper argues that investors can unwittingly “co-create” fraud, and that continuing to back founders previously accused of it normalises the behaviour.

The Toronto study also found that startups launched during overheated markets, with weak oversight and thin due diligence, were 19% more likely to commit fraud later — which suggests board control is less a question of founder autonomy than of what market conditions do to governance. The proposed remedies are stronger; holding directors liable when façading happens on their watch, and formal audits of later-stage private companies. Both carry costs, not least making good people warier of taking early-stage board seats, and neither maps neatly onto the UK, where nothing polices private markets the way the SEC does.

Back Catalogue


On Monday, Chancellor John Healey will give his first big speech. Everything briefed about it says it will focus more on vision than policy. That’s fair enough; we are only seven weeks out from a Budget, with the Treasury’s deadline for submissions looming on Wednesday.

Some credit first. The last Budget took two numbers straight from Backing Breakthrough Businesses. The Enterprise Management Incentive (EMI) asset cap went from £30 million to £120 million and the employee limit from 250 to 500. Enterprise Investment Scheme (EIS) and Venture Capital Trust limits doubled, though relief on the latter fell from 30% to 20%. So I’ve delved into our archives to pull out the policies that haven’t yet been implemented.

First, rule out equalising capital gains tax with income tax. As I wrote in May, Entrepreneurs’ Relief went from £1 million to £2 million to £5 million to £10 million, back to £1 million, was rebranded, then ratcheted from 10% to 14% to 18%, the last step landing in April. A 20% charge on unrealised gains at the border was floated last Budget and dropped rather than ruled out. Founders can’t price a 15-year bet against a system that lurches annually. Is it any surprise that our polling revealed that 62% of founders know another founder who left after the 2024 Budget?

Second, restore the Business Asset Disposal Relief lifetime limit to £10 million, where Entrepreneurs’ Relief sat, and tie it to reinvestment. According to our Entrepreneurs Survey, 72% of founders would put the proceeds of a more generous relief into someone else’s startup and 70% would launch another venture. Sweden deferred tax on gains from unlisted shares reinvested in unlisted companies in 2003, left it alone for two decades, and now produces more unicorns per head than almost anywhere.

Third, index the thresholds. Backing Breakthrough Businesses recommended that we uprate the investment and gross asset limits on tax reliefs annually. The EMI limits were set in 2000 and sat frozen until April. Every few years the ecosystem campaigns to drag them back in line with inflation. This should be automatic.

Fourth, fix the plumbing on the venture schemes — three repairs from the All-Party Parliamentary Group for Entrepreneurship’s Funding to Flourish, outstanding three years on. Make SAFE notes eligible for the Seed Enterprise Investment Scheme (SEIS) and EIS rather than voiding relief when they don’t convert within six months. Scrap the 2014 financial health test, which disqualifies any company whose liabilities exceed its assets, or that has spent more than half the capital it raised. And make HM Revenue and Customs (HMRC) ring an applicant with a clarifying question during advance assurance instead of refusing in silence.

Fifth, abolish Stamp Duty Reserve Tax (SDRT). The UK Listing Relief was the right instinct: three years’ exemption for new listings, about £50 million a year, while the 0.5% charge sits on everything else. SDRT taxes the investment and the return on it, including when the return is negative. It doesn’t come cheap — so if not this year, at least set the direction.

Sixth, treat HMRC as growth infrastructure. Making Tax Simple asked for a callback service, on the evidence of a Chartered Institute of Taxation survey in which 94% were dissatisfied with service levels and one in five would give up rather than keep trying to get through. We also suggested surfacing eligible reliefs inside Making Tax Digital software. A relief nobody knows about doesn’t change behaviour, and 74% of the founders we surveyed knew of none they could claim. Take-up would rise and it would cost something, but it would also incentivise the activity those reliefs were set up for.

Seventh, reset procurement rather than layering on it. Building Blocks found single-bid tenders rose fivefold between 2012 and 2018, against procurement worth around 15% of GDP, a tenth of which reaches SMEs. In May I wrote about a British company blocked from G-Cloud for negative EBITDA and a light balance sheet, which is normal for any growth-stage tech company. To its credit, the Government took note and the listing was reinstated. The rule that blocked it is still there.

Eighth, cut the cost of coming and hiring. A founder arriving alone on an Innovator Founder visa pays £6,862, or £18,694 with a partner and two children, with the health surcharge payable up front for the whole visa. June’s reimbursement scheme for scaleups doesn’t cover founders at all. Last year’s Job Creators argued Britain should stop filtering out the people it says it wants. The fees are doing the filtering. More from us on this shortly — sign up for our next Job Creators launch here.

Ninth, regulate sterling stablecoins for growth. A Sterling Opportunity makes the case for principles-based rules on transparency, reserve backing and custody, rather than redemption obligations and holding caps low enough to rule out corporate treasury use. Sterling stablecoins are backed by gilts, and Healey has the highest cost of servicing government debt in decades.

Tenth, close the online marketplace value added tax (VAT) gap. In February we joined 18 other business organisations in calling for a consultation on extending liability rules, where overseas sellers avoid charging VAT and pocket a 20% price advantage. It closed on 18 August and nothing has followed. Reform could recover an estimated £700 million a year.

Rent Free

“Political entrepreneur” is one of those terms with too many definitions to be useful — the oldest being someone who profits by shaping rules rather than by creating value. A new NBER working paper, Political Entrepreneurs, proposes a more flattering one.

Across 26 US states between 2009 and 2023, the paper reveals that more than 40% of state legislators both owned and actively managed a firm. Britain has no comparable figure. The nearest thing is the LGA’s councillor census, which in 2022 found 15.8% of English councillors describing themselves as self-employed or freelance, against 8% of the adult population. Twice the national rate, but nowhere near 40%.

These US “political entrepreneurs” don’t sponsor more bills overall, but they initiate a greater share as first or sole primary sponsor. Nor are they any more likely than colleagues with other business ties to sponsor pro-business bills, or bills endorsed by state Chambers of Commerce:

“Instead, they selectively advance pro-entry legislation, especially bills related to deregulation and innovation rather than antitrust or access to capital.”

In other words, entrepreneurs with political power in the US are more focused on levelling the playing field than on tilting it.

In our Operation Innovation essay collection, David Stallibrass and John Fingleton CBE quote John Kay:

“You can become wealthy by creating wealth or by appropriating wealth created by other people. When the appropriation of the wealth of others is illegal it is called theft or fraud. When it is legal, economists call it rent-seeking.”

As Kevin Murphy, Andrei Shleifer and Robert Vishny argue in Why Is Rent-Seeking So Costly to Growth?, rent-seeking is self-reinforcing. The more of it there is, the more attractive it becomes relative to producing. It also falls hardest on innovators, because new firms need the permits and licences that incumbents have already bought, and the people best placed to extract rents prefer dealing with insiders they know to outsiders trying to get in.

Not that all lobbying is duplicitous. Much of it helps regulators understand what they are regulating, as Stallibrass and Fingleton are careful to say. The trouble is that the same channel serves both purposes, and incumbents have far more practice using it.

Writing on the paper in Network Effects, Eamonn Ives set out three responses: “Political parties could do more to encourage founders to stand for office; governments could make it easier for them to spend periods inside agencies and departments through appointments, fellowships or advisory roles; and policymakers could be more deliberate about bringing entrepreneurs into the room before rules are written, rather than consulting them as an afterthought.”

The third is the one we spend most of our time on. But if you want to be a political entrepreneur in the model of Baroness Lane-Fox, Alex Depledge, Matt Clifford, Emma Jones or Lord Bilimoria, the evidence suggests you would push for market entry rather than for protection.

Three Big Ideas #68

🏦 Ian Ng, Researcher

For those of us who follow Europe’s startup ecosystem, it won’t come as news that the late-stage funding gap is often seen as the binding constraint on startups scaling up. Much of this has already been mapped out in the Draghi report and elsewhere — the internal barriers within the European Single Market and the need to funnel wealth towards risk-taking VCs who can back scale-ups. While the Draghi report stated that the EU’s productivity growth over the past two decades could be on par with the US if you strip out the tech sector, a new NBER paper finds that the valuation gap between US and European firms persists even when comparing companies within the same narrow industry. Strip out the very largest companies in each region and the gap barely budges, so this isn’t mega-caps skewing the average. Instead, the authors identify the gap as concentrated among young, small, R&D-intensive companies — what stockpickers would call growth stocks, whose value lies in future growth rather than today’s cash flow.

The paper attributes the gap to two constraints. On the demand side, European firms’ sales are tied to the size of their home country’s economy. A 1% rise in local GDP raises a European firm’s sales by 0.8%, a dependency that does not exist for American firms and their home states. On the finance side, Europe has less venture capital than the US. US venture capital investment ran at 0.5% of GDP in 2023, against 0.15% even in Denmark, the most VC-active country in Europe. The paper links this to a structural difference in the supply of long-term capital between the US and Europe, with US retirement assets mostly in defined-contribution (DC) schemes carrying heavy equity exposure, whereas European pension systems remain mostly pay-as-you-go.

In the UK, the state pension is pay-as-you-go but workplace pensions have shifted towards DC schemes. There is progress on turning that pot towards venture capital. The Mansion House Accord commits 17 of the UK’s largest DC providers to allocate 10% of default funds to private markets by 2030, half of it in the UK, while the Pension Schemes Act 2026 gives the Government a reserve power to require providers to hit the target if voluntary progress stalls.

The private sector has already made the shift from defined benefit to DC. Given the ballooning state pension bill is at around 5% of GDP and forecast to climb towards 8% of GDP by the early 2070s, perhaps it’s time to ask the same question of our state pension. Our state pension is simply moving cash from today’s workers to today’s pensioners without investing a penny of that money into British growth. Germany has kickstarted its pension reform in this direction, as the government-appointed pension commission has recommended a compulsory contribution starting at 0.5% of pre-tax income and rising to 2% by 2031, split evenly between employer and employee and paid into a centrally managed public fund modelled on Sweden’s.

Europe is not broke — we remain among the wealthiest continents — but we must put that wealth to work. Closing the gap needs businesses willing to take risks and more capital willing to back them. It is essential for the UK and Europe to plug our gap in late-stage funding if we want to keep our best scale-ups.

🏛️ Eamonn Ives, Associate Director, Public First

Whether it’s Alex Depledge advising the Chancellor of the Exchequer, Matt Clifford holding the pen for Britain’s AI Opportunities Action Plan or Emma Jones taking the reins as the Small Business Commissioner, entrepreneurs going into the heart of government seems to be in vogue. Most readers will probably regard this trend as an unalloyed positive. In addition to bringing valuable domain-specific expertise, founders tend to have an uncanny knack for challenging established ways of working and breaking through the institutional inertia that besets modern governments.

A new working paper from Aaron Chatterji, Jorge Guzman, Joyce Ma and Ryan C. McDevitt puts some numbers behind the theory. Studying a dataset of American state legislators, they conclude that those who own and actively manage a firm not only propose a larger proportion of bills as first or sole primary sponsor but also “selectively advance pro-entry legislation, especially bills related to deregulation and innovation.”

Entrepreneurs, it seems, really do bring a particular perspective on economic growth into politics: one focused less on protecting the interests of incumbent companies, and more concerned with making it easier for new businesses to emerge. Perhaps due to having experienced the frustrations of starting up and running a firm first-hand, they seem especially attuned to how rules, regulations and institutional sclerosis can stand in the way of new entrants.

American state politics is not Westminster, so we should be wary of assuming the paper’s findings travel intact. But they ought to make us think more seriously about entrepreneurial experience as a form of talent that government should actively seek out. Political parties could do more to encourage founders to stand for office; governments could make it easier for them to spend periods inside agencies and departments through appointments, fellowships or advisory roles; and policymakers could be more deliberate about bringing entrepreneurs into the room before rules are written, rather than consulting them as an afterthought.

📍 Sophya Mashkoor, Researcher

The internet was supposed to kill the postcode, so why hasn’t AI finished the job?

With access to a computer, an AI coding agent, a Stripe account and a Zoom link, every founder can easily build their business from anywhere in the world. A great engineer in Lagos could build the same thing as one in San Francisco, and perhaps at a cheaper cost. However, in practice the map has gotten lumpier.

Findings from earlier in the year show that around two-thirds of US venture dollars land in the Bay Area, which takes roughly 60% of global AI funding. New York, Los Angeles and Boston take most of the rest, and everywhere else is left to split the crumbs.

So why are the tools that were meant to make location irrelevant the same ones pulling capital back into one postcode (or zip code, if you will)?

The old case for hubs was to cluster where the engineers are so talent is concentrated in one area. Now, with AI, a two-person team anywhere can ship what used to take a department, so the need for density weakens. But when building takes just an afternoon, engineers stop being the scarce resource, and it instead becomes the judgement of people who can tell whether an idea is worthwhile or not. Those people — repeat founders, ex-lab researchers, investors on their third AI cycle — are still mostly having coffee in the same few square miles.

So the idea that AI democratises entrepreneurship and that capital keeps re-concentrating in a handful of cities can coexist. AI has shifted gatekeeping away from capital and infrastructure but ideas are still better communicated in person.

It is therefore worth asking: is this temporary, or does judgement being scarce mean hubs never really dissolve?

Network Errors

There’s a kind of founder network in the UK that meets after 5pm, usually in the pub, and is attended by people who have nobody waiting for them at home.

It’s a world Maria Kardakova once felt she had no choice but to live in, staying out late to keep pace with her peers, all while worrying about after-school pickups and whether she was spending enough time with her two young children.

For female founders, that expectation is a tax. Around 70% of UK venture capital deals still happen through informal networks like these.

Maria says lockdown gave her the excuse to stop, and she’s glad it did. Because in her newly free evenings, she realised the room didn’t have to be the one with everyone else in it.

With her two children at home and a husband recovering from cancer, she found herself overpaying for a meal-kit box and becoming frustrated by half-cooked recipes nobody actually wanted to eat. Out of that frustration came iCook, the AI nutrition platform she’s since built into a 250,000-user business across 176 countries, integrated with retailers from Tesco to Walmart.

She built it on a set of firm refusals, most of which she still holds. We spoke about what it costs to build outside a system designed for someone else, why she won’t sell supplements, and why she’s waiting for a Series A to say what she thinks.

  • How a lockdown argument with a meal-kit box became a 250,000-user nutrition platform.

  • Who can afford to network: 7.30pm events, self-funded pitch trips and the founders who aren’t in the room.

  • Why every scientific nutrition platform pivoted into supplements and why she won’t.

  • Childcare is startup policy. In Sweden, leave is genuinely shared, childcare from year two is good, and the state pays the same per child regardless of income.

  • Nothing sits between retailers and what they promote. Over 70% of food advertising spend goes to confectionery, sugar, salt and sweet snacks; under 2% to fruit and vegetables.

  • Hold your ground. She was told more than once, in terms she calls mansplaining, that recipes were finished and ChatGPT would replace them. She smiled and nodded, but now thinks she should have pushed back.

  • Chase. Scientists are trained to let the work speak and wait to be approached. She now chases investors, and prepares a market proposal in hours where she once would have taken a month.

  • Boldness has a price. She’s holding her opinions until Series A, on the theory that a funded founder with opinions is read differently from an unfunded one.

  • Children’s rooms beat lactation rooms for a founder doing back-to-back meetings.

  • A free ticket for a spouse or nanny changes who can attend.

  • A founder invited to pitch is usually paying their own airfare.

You have a doctorate in biosciences and a decade across food, retail, catering and biotech. Where did iCook start?

The idea came in 2020 when I was stuck at home with my two younger children and my husband, who had recently had cancer.

I had to feed the whole family, and we tried different boxes and within a couple of deliveries we realised we were overpaying by five times for peeled carrots or some garlic cloves. The food then gets stuck in the fridge, and nobody wants to eat it because it’s already half-cooked and prepped. You still end up spending the same amount of time and money on cooking and buying at the regular supermarket.

So I thought: why not generate a balanced menu instead? A simple machine-learning model that takes the family’s allergies, ethnic background, ages and size, builds the menu, works out how much of each ingredient you need and sends it to the shopping list.

What did the next two years look like?

Execution came in 2022, when I found an investor for £50,000. I already had an iOS prototype, which we launched as a paid app; revenue from that paid for the Android version, a designer, and a food photographer — we had our own kitchen for production and I wanted a minimalistic look. We ran ads on Amazon, the App Store and Google Play to work out which markets to expand into, and broke even within a year on £100,000 of revenue, which went back into the AI.

2024 was the groundbreaking year, when a helpful household tool turned into something closer to an agent. I built the infrastructure myself — probably too precisely — but it means I have hands-on knowledge of every ingredient, policy and nutrition recommendation behind it.

My biotech background means I also know GDPR, so I know what we can and can’t share with third parties, and what sits on Google Cloud versus AWS. After that we put money into the AI rather than advertising, brought a few more people on, and we’ve been raising ever since.

What are you building now?

We’re testing a digital avatar version of the AI assistant. It isn’t just a Duolingo for cooking, teaching you nutrition from a young age. It also gives advice if you’ve been diagnosed with something.

The avatar can support you instead of you going to social media for advice, which is why we want to build trust around it. We’re currently testing a video version that will be available on iPad, where you can discuss your nutrition with it, and the same avatar will show you how to cook anything from boiling an egg to making a crème brûlée.

Where does your conviction about home cooking come from?

I used to live in Sweden, and my roots are in Russia. In both, we still really value home-cooked food. It’s the top luxury you can afford, because you’re preserving nutrients, controlling the salt, sugar and fats you add, and it has not been reheated multiple times. It’s still the best way to feed your family.

Teaching kids and teenagers to cook also takes load off mothers. I learned young because my parents weren’t home and I had to feed myself, not because anyone enjoyed cooking with me. Mine are 13 and 15 now, and they cook for themselves and love it. Even travelling, they’d rather find a grocery store. They’ve got picky about fast food and delivery, and I think that fussiness is a good thing. We’re not against the occasional Five Guys.

Where do you think iCook stands apart from the rest of the nutrition space?

The ethical line for me is supplements. No way. The meta-analyses are clear. They don’t improve quality of life or long-term health, and they don’t extend lifespan. They’re a very small fix.

Meanwhile the food market isn’t developing. Waste keeps growing, and so does the energy and CO₂ cost of producing all of it, and people have no tools to do anything about that. The kitchen hasn’t caught up either. The last real upgrade to the home kitchen was the microwave. That was 1967. We've had sixty years of nothing digital between the fridge and the plate. There’s nothing digital that helps someone planning around a child’s allergies, a partner’s allergies, or their own diabetes.

People go to the supermarket with none of that support, and get bombarded by whatever influencers are pushing, three-for-two deals on sweets dressed up as recommendations.

Is that an outlier, or is it how the industry works?

The UK produces one of the best nutrition reports in the world. The Broken Plate clearly shows how much money we spend promoting confectionery, sugar, salt and sweet snacks — over 70% of all food advertising spend — while fruit and vegetables get less than 2%.

No matter what health campaigns we launch, there’s no intermediary between retailers and what they’re promoting to consumers. I’ve raised this with retailers at several conferences, and they tend to say it’s hands off — we’re selling what our consumers want — even though there’s a good deal of research on how marketing shapes behaviour. If the recommended portion size of a snack is 30 grams, but what’s sold is much larger packs, people under financial pressure may go for the bigger packs, which are better value and eat past the recommended portion regardless. As a registered nutritionist and public health expert, I find that hard to follow.

And that’s why I won’t pivot into supplements, because every other platform that took a scientific approach to nutrition has. All of them. My favourite influencers from five years ago are all selling them now, because there’s no money in recipes.

I want to build an ecosystem for people who still cook from real recipes, preserving the authentic ones and making them healthy with a balanced menu.

I also want guidelines for people who outsource the cooking, a nanny picking the kids up from school, so they know what to cook, that it’s balanced, and that the groceries are there.

What makes a founder credible to investors and retailers now?

I worked for a kefir company, Beautiful Dairy then and Beautiful Kefir now, on the R&D side, on bacterial cultures and their health benefits. I assembled a scientific advisory board, chasing down microbiome professors and top nutritionists, because we wanted a more credible slide for pitches to Sainsbury’s and Tesco.

The response was so low. People said, this isn’t for me. Now it’s the opposite. They turn up at pitch events asking to join your advisory board. The funding narrative has shifted to commercial traction plus institutional backing.

You’ve said startup culture — the pub, the late nights — isn’t built for founders with families. What have you seen work better?

My husband works for a large US tech company, and as a manager he isn’t allowed to do gatherings outside working hours. After 5pm or 6pm, everyone goes home.

I think that’s brilliant, and fair. When my kids were younger I was sending them to after-school clubs they hated, then calling my husband to do the pickup, because everyone was going to the pub and I had to go too.

I went to an event yesterday that ran from 7.30pm to 10pm. Most people there were men, or women without children. They’re 100% dedicated, but they don’t have small kids at home, and I barely see female founders who do.

It’s not that they’re less creative or won’t work hard. They have other duties that come first. I feel lucky to have teenagers now, otherwise I’d feel the FOMO constantly.

Last week I spent four days in Madrid at South Summit, where I pitched. The invite came a week before, so I shifted all my plans and paid for the travel and hotel myself. Nobody reimburses founders for that. I paid £500 for the flight and hotel to stand on a stage for eight minutes. The ROI calculus on pitch trips is brutal, and it filters out anyone who can't absorb that cost. And you’re doing that against 30-year-old guys with no families who won’t be expected to have kids for another fifteen years.

How would you redesign these events?

We don’t need female-friendliness. We’re fine with just having the same opportunities.

I’ve seen lactation rooms at major tech summits, which is great, but with the noise and heat I wouldn’t use one twice. A founder has meetings back to back, a pitch to prepare, and still needs to eat. Even on my own I was overwhelmed by the end of the day. Children’s rooms would be amazing. So would a free ticket for a spouse, or a nanny. I love how IKEA takes care of kids so parents can shop normally.

Beyond the events, childcare is the game-changer. In Sweden, parental leave is genuinely shared, and from year two the childcare is good enough that both parents can go back to work. The government pays the same for every child, whatever you earn.

What does doing everything right look like now, and why isn’t it enough?

The calibre of startups now is completely different from two years ago. With AI, we’re all learning faster what we’re expected to show up with. People who weren’t confident with a pitch deck now are, including me.

I prepared my cap table in a day, and that used to take several consultations with advisers. AI as a co-worker is brilliant for market research. If I meet an investor from Brazil, a proposal for that market takes hours, not a month, something solid on what happens if they invest and we advertise there.

It takes a lot of mental resilience. I’ve watched founders get overwhelmed by the sheer number of pitches and emails.

Scientific-minded people don’t like to chase. We want to be chased. That ego doesn’t help, and it doesn’t help with being visible either. I fought it for years, and I’m putting out more public content now, which has brought the ego down, because it forces you to explain things so people understand them.

What would you tell a founder starting where you started?

Hold your ground. Nobody knows better than you do. If you believe in your idea, and you have the competencies to back it up, and you see the potential, don’t let anyone ruin it.

I've been told more than once that recipes are dead and ChatGPT replaces them. Those people have never had to feed a family of four with two different allergies on a Tuesday night.

I smiled and nodded. I don't do that anymore. I should have said: ask your mum. Is she cooking, or ordering delivery and buying meal kits? She’ll tell you she wouldn’t overpay £100 a week when she can do better herself. I once asked my mum why she still peels potatoes with a knife, and she said it’s because her dad did it that way.

Those things are what make us human, and delegating cooking entirely isn’t going to end well. Every founder needs to hold their idea firmly and be vocal about it, more vocal and bolder than I am.

I've learned to pick my moments. I have strong opinions on food advertising, supplement culture, and how the industry treats evidence. I'm more vocal now than I was two years ago, and I'll keep going. I work hard and overdeliver, but I have my own opinions and I’m not quite brave enough to put them out there. Maybe after a Series A. Just not yet.

Why does a Series A make it safe to be bolder?

Funded founders get read as visionary. Unfunded founders with the same opinions get read as difficult. I know that dynamic, and I'm navigating it, but I'm not waiting for permission to build what I believe in.

Is there anything you’ve read or listened to recently that you’d recommend to our readers?

I read Isaacson's Musk biography. Not for the success — for the failures. The scale of what went wrong and how much one person can absorb and still make decisions. That's what I took from it. What fascinated me was the scale of his actual failures, not just potential ones, and how much a person can process. He’s still across the engineering himself, knows the weight of every detail, and makes huge decisions anyway. We spend too much time worrying what people think of us, and as women especially, we worry so much we forget to do the job. I’d rather not spend that capacity on overthinking. So when people ask if I’m a feminist, yes, but I’d rather prove it through actions than volume.

I also love Michelle Obama’s Becoming, two ambitious people with similar but different ideas about what they want from life. That’s very much my husband and me, and our friends call us a power couple. I have strong family values, I love raising children, and I’d love more. Maybe not as many as Elon Musk.

This series is run in partnership with the Jessica Vollman Foundation, a non-profit founded to honour the legacy of the late CEO, founder and advocate for women in entrepreneurship: Jessica Vollman.

Last Orders

Next Friday is the last day to nominate someone for the latest wave of UK honours. Twelve days after that, HM Treasury’s Budget representation portal closes. We’ve been asked to spread the word on both, so consider this the week we’re doling out homework.

On Thursday we — and some of you reading this — were on a call with the honours team at the Department for Business, Innovation, Science and Trade (BIST). We’ve bemoaned the shortage of entrepreneurs on the list for years, and in Honours for Innovators, Anton Howes and Ned Donovan went further and proposed building a new order of chivalry from scratch — the Elizabethan Order. Short of getting that built, we’ve decided to stop complaining and help out.

The honours committees can only pick from those who are nominated, and they have some first-rate members. Driving up nominations will drive up competition, and with it the number of entrepreneurs, innovators and ecosystem builders who receive recognition.

So have a think about someone you know whose achievements merit recognition, and submit a nomination. The deadline is a week today. While you’re at it, the King’s Awards for Enterprise Young Founder category we flagged a fortnight ago closes on 8 September.

If you’d like to sit in on future meetings with the honours team, join us (for free) as a Member so we know how to contact you.

Portal Recall

We flagged the Budget representation portal three weeks ago, when John Healey — who has incidentally just joined LinkedIn in case you want to give him a follow — confirmed 28 October as the big day. The portal closes on 9 September. From conversations I’ve had over the last week, it seems founders still assume representations are something that can only be done on their behalf by trade associations. Anyone can submit, individuals included, though the Treasury asks that submissions address effectiveness and value for money, revenue implications, how the measure supports growth and wider macroeconomic effects.

Four things separate a submission that gets read from one that doesn’t. First, cost it. If you can’t produce a number, say what the number depends on and give a range. Second, pick one thing. Submissions are triaged by policy area, so a document containing six vague, unrelated ideas will be routed to nobody.

Third, match the Government’s objective where you can. This Budget has an explicit frame — moving money and power out of Westminster — and a submission that explains how your measure delivers it stands a better chance of being taken up. (Though there’s no point hammering a corporation tax cut into a devolution-shaped hole.)

Fourth, use your own firm as the evidence. You know what a policy actually did to a real company’s hiring, pricing or investment decisions. Two paragraphs of specific operational detail carry more weight than a page of citations. Say what you do, how many people you employ and where.

Submit your own representation directly to HM Treasury — and if you would like to share it with us for consideration in our submission, send it over.

On Call

Halfway through our interview, Amber Vodegel’s 16-year-old daughter texted to ask for a lift. She was sitting in the same room. Amber was mid-sentence and didn’t reply, so a handwritten note arrived instead, with tick boxes for yes and no. Amber ticked yes, then broke off to explain it would have to be after five, because she had one more meeting.

For many female founders, this is what building a business looks like.

Amber has been building healthtech companies for the better part of two decades. She bootstrapped her first company, Pregnancy+, without investors or a network, while raising a family, before selling it to Philips in 2017. Pregnancy+ has since gone on to reach 150 million users worldwide.

In 2023 she started again with the women’s health platform 28X, backed by £1.2 million from the Philips Foundation and angel investors — and by a list of the things she wishes she’d known the first time.

Capital, networks and time constrain every high-growth female founder in the UK. Amber has worked around all three twice.

What we discussed

  • How she bootstrapped Pregnancy+ without knowing that grants or investment existed, sold the business to Philips and saw the product go on to reach 150 million users worldwide.

  • Why she started again after the Philips exit, and the book that shaped what she built next.

  • How 28X stays free for every user.

  • Her proposal for a basic certificate before you can register a company.

Lessons for policymakers

  • Reform grant assessment panels to include entrepreneurs. Amber argues that assessors, often drawn from research backgrounds, are trained to reward long feasibility studies over founders who say a problem can be solved quickly. A panel split between an entrepreneur, a researcher and a policy specialist would change who gets funded, and for what.

  • Exempt care costs from benefit-in-kind tax for scaling companies. Employer-paid childcare, school care and elderly care are taxed as a standard benefit, so the employee pays income tax on the value and the company pays Class 1A National Insurance on top. She would exempt high-growth companies from that treatment on care costs.

  • Give Companies House a teaching job. There’s no basic knowledge requirement to register a company. Plain-language videos on what alternative capital is, which sort suits which company and what grants exist would point founders in the right direction.

Lessons for founders

  • Constraints buy you the right to say no. Bootstrapping let her turn down beauty-product sponsorships aimed at pregnant users, which she doubts she could have done under investor pressure.

  • Ask what your kind of capital demands in return. Venture and private equity suit some businesses but not others, and most founders treat money simply as money.

  • Architecture is a business model decision. Because 28X runs on-device with no cloud back end, there’s no incremental cost per user. One woman or 100 million costs the same, which is what makes free viable.

You bootstrapped Pregnancy+ without investors or a network, sold it to Philips in 2017, and the product has since reached 150 million users worldwide. Six years later, you started again from scratch. Why?

I bootstrapped the first company simply because I didn’t know funding existed. I made some money, put it back in and made some more. I never joined a network or went to an event. I worked in complete isolation. I had no idea what I was doing in terms of preparing for an exit, structuring the company or getting a grant. I just wanted to make the best product there was for our users.

I learned a lot at Philips over the years that followed the exit. We integrated with Medicaid in the US and went deeper into low-income countries, where Philips is excellent.

After I left Philips, I read Rutger Bregman’s Moral Ambition. It argues that the biggest waste of our generation is ‘a waste of talent’, that our best mathematicians are spending their brains on dopamine triggers and TikTok feeds when they should be working on climate change and cancer. Everyone follows the money. Everyone wants to be the next big tech entrepreneur, no matter the effect their product has on society.

Today’s tech products are often venture-backed, which means the user pays one way or another. The best period trackers cost £4 to £8 a month. That’s fine for a small percentage of affluent women. Unfortunately for a lot of women and girls, it simply isn’t affordable.

Imagine a 14-year-old girl from a low-income household where English isn’t her first language, who wants to track her period and understand her own body. She downloads an app and immediately hits a paywall. We treat that as normal. And if she doesn’t pay, her data gets shared instead, or she’ll be exposed to endless advertising. One way or the other, investors need to see a return on their investment, so the user becomes ‘the product’.

So I thought: let’s rethink the healthtech space. We’re building a women’s health app with no subscription and no data business behind it. We don’t use cloud servers at the back end, so we can’t access your data ourselves. We give women back the power over their own data, without having to pay for it. Your body. Your data. Your choice.

If there’s no subscription and no data being sold, what pays for 28X?

The good news is that if you don’t have cloud servers, you don’t have costs that scale. Our core technology costs don’t rise in proportion to the number of users, which fundamentally changes the economics. You download the same binary from the store onto your phone, and everything happens on-device. You can still share your data with your GP if you want, or back it up to your own Google Drive or email. It’s your own safe, not mine. There isn’t a meaningful incremental infrastructure cost attached to each additional user.

That’s the first part: we’ve dropped the cloud, and the costs that come with it. The second part is sponsors, the same way I did it with Pregnancy+. You can make tens of millions a year from ESG sponsorships that actually mean something. Educational partnerships, for example, and health solutions and products that are genuinely useful to women.

What did bootstrapping force you to do differently?

I think you become more creative. There’s less pressure, and you end up in a more ethical position, too. At Pregnancy+, before we were acquired, we were offered certain sponsorships that I didn’t think were helpful. Beauty-enhancement products, mostly. When you’re pregnant, you should be focused on life — your mental health, your social network — not worrying about your appearance. We were offered substantial sponsorships like that quite early on. If we’d been VC-backed, I don’t think I could have said no.

Bootstrapping gives you much more space to make the right decisions. You also have time, so you cut fewer corners on security and privacy. If getting it right takes a month longer, there’s nobody telling you it has to ship by June.

Venture capital is wonderful for certain businesses, but definitely not for all of them, and the same goes for private equity. There’s very little education on that. People see money as money. They just think, “I need money”, without knowing what it means or what the consequences are.

You built Pregnancy+ without knowing that funding, grants or networks existed. What needs to change so the next generation doesn’t have to learn it the hard way?

I think entrepreneurship should be on the school curriculum. It’s going to be huge, because in this new world, everyone can build anything with AI. You’ll see lots of micro-companies starting up, each doing something very specific for one area.

My co-founder’s son is 13. Over a few weekends he built a game — AI lets you do that now. He can now invite his school friends to play, and in return they invite another school to play against them. So now you’ve got kids in Guildford schools playing a game together, and they like it more than playing something global like Roblox, where you have no idea who you’re playing against. You’ll get far more companies built for a local purpose, and some of them will turn out to be valuable.

But those kids, in those schools, need to know what’s actually available to them in the UK, and how to access it. That’s where it has to start.

So where should that information come from?

Look at what happens when you register a limited company with Companies House. There’s no basic knowledge test, the way there is for almost everything else you’re allowed to do. You need a theory exam for a driving licence. You need a PADI qualification before you’re allowed to scuba dive. But you can set up a company with no understanding of what you’re getting into at all.

Companies House could put out a series of plain-language videos. One in seven adults in England has literacy skills at or below the level expected of a nine- to 11-year-old, so explain it at that level. This is what alternative capital is. This is what’s good for which kind of company, and why it’s not suited to others. These are the grants you can apply for. Just enough to point people in the right direction.

I’d push for some kind of basic certificate. At the moment starting a company is like having a child. Everyone says good luck, and that’s the training.

You want childcare treated differently for growing companies. What’s the thinking?

If you’re a growing company with a good revenue track record, you’re bringing new money into the country, because you’re selling a product or a service. Those are the building blocks of society. You have surplus value.

I think companies above a revenue growth threshold — set it at 20%, or tier it — should be able to claim care costs back, whether that’s childcare or elderly care. I think that makes total sense. With all of these suggestions, there are always people who find ways around the system, so it’s difficult to do perfectly. But there must be something we can do, especially for women, around childcare that you can claim as a benefit.

You’ve also mentioned proposing a minimum proportion of government spend going to UK-based companies. What’s the example that makes the case for you?

Take AI scribe software for GPs, the kind that allows a doctor to focus on the patient rather than typing throughout the consultation, with the conversation captured and the relevant information added to the system automatically.

When public bodies procure technology like this, I think there should be much more consideration given to where the economic value ultimately goes. It is not just about where a company employs people, but where the ownership sits, where the money flows and whether we are helping to build capability in the UK.

Supporting British companies should be a factor in those decisions. There should be a requirement for a meaningful proportion of public and grant-funded spending to remain in the UK. If a company has received an Innovate UK grant, for example, there should also be an expectation that a reasonable share of that funding is spent with UK subcontractors and suppliers. I think Innovate UK is already relatively good at encouraging that.

Quotas draw pushback. How do you answer it?

You do get that, and I see it. But maybe you frame it as either UK-based or female, like setting a few really important pillars, rather than one narrow box. That’s the only way to get people moving in that direction, if there are mandates around where the money goes.

I don’t think you can just hand money out. But you can set guidelines where a company has to tick some of those boxes — UK-based, female-founded, whatever the pillars are — so it falls into one of those categories rather than being excluded outright. If you do it that way, you don’t end up with a group of people against you.

You’ve said government grant programmes, including Innovate UK, tend to favour applicants from research or institutional backgrounds. What did you mean by that?

I didn’t know any of this until I won a grant myself. I’m getting better at them now, but the mechanism is revealing. In my experience, the process can feel heavily weighted towards research and institutional thinking, and I’d like to see more successful entrepreneurs represented on assessment panels.

So when I wrote my first submissions, I’d say something like: I only need this much money, and I can get you that much return, by just doing these three things. Very simple. They didn’t like that wording at all. They really don’t like it when you say it’s easy, that you can just do it, because that’s seen as far too entrepreneurial.

Every grant writer told me the same thing: say the idea is high-risk, say you have no idea whether it’ll work, ask for a feasibility study, then another, possibly a third. And always include well-known research partners as part of your funding proposal. That’s the setup and wording most assessors prefer.

What would a better process look like?

I’d want assessor panels to include a successful serial entrepreneur alongside someone from a research background and someone from policy. The three of them vote together. Right now, successful serial entrepreneurs are missing from these panels entirely.

What’s one thing you’ve read, listened to or come across recently that you’d recommend to readers?

I was really impressed by an article about Thuria Wenbar in The Times.

I know her personally, and I think the best businesses are built on strong ethics and a genuine desire to solve real problems.

She wanted to help improve access to healthcare, so she founded an online pharmacy and digital healthcare business. Through the service, people can complete a clinical assessment online and, where appropriate, receive treatment following review by a qualified healthcare professional. The information can also be shared with their GP to help support continuity of care.

I used the service this morning to request travel health support ahead of a safari in a high-risk malaria area. I completed the assessment online, and the relevant information was shared with my GP.

She’s a female founder who set out to improve the system and built a business to do exactly that. What makes her story even more remarkable is her journey. She was an asylum seeker, fleeing first to Egypt, then Germany, before arriving in the UK at the age of eight. She is one of many extraordinary women who have come to the UK from around the world and built businesses that make a real difference.

When you read a story like hers, an asylum seeker, a doctor, now running a technology business, you might think, how brilliant is that? But I suspect there is still a tendency in the UK to ask why someone like her did not simply stay in medicine.

The point is that she has not stepped away from healthcare; she has found a different way to contribute to it. She is solving a real problem, building something the NHS did not have, creating technology that can support patients and clinicians, and developing intellectual property that could ultimately be exported and licensed into other health systems.

We should be much more comfortable celebrating people who use their expertise to build companies, create jobs and solve public service problems at scale.

This series is run in partnership with the Jessica Vollman Foundation, a non-profit founded to honour the legacy of the late CEO, founder and advocate for women in entrepreneurship: Jessica Vollman.

In Plain Sight

Grace Almendras-Castillo built a healthtech company in Toronto, raised most of its money from US investors and sold it to an American buyer. She could have stayed in Canada, where she had 30 years of relationships. Instead, she moved to the UK, where she knew one person, and started again.

The UK’s 5.5 million small businesses drew her in, and so did its finance sector, which she rates alongside New York and Singapore for rigour. Gifftid, the AI platform she’s since built, exists to help overlooked businesses get in front of investors, banks and corporates who could fund them.

Getting there, however, took work. Grace spent her first months in London entering rooms where nobody knew her name, letting the relationships build before she asked for anything.

It’s how she built her first company too — flying to Silicon Valley, New York, Boston and Chicago several times a month, convinced a founder had to be there in person to be taken seriously.

We spoke about what it takes to build in a market you weren’t born into.

  • Building Self Care Catalysts and selling it, and raising most of its money in the US.

  • Why she chose the UK to start again in her 50s.

  • Why she thinks founders have to be physically present in the market they want to grow in.

  • Why she thinks the funding gap for women is a problem of evidence more than bias.

  • Her advice to founders raising capital, and how to tell when you’re pitching the wrong kind of investor.

  • Judge small businesses on more than their accounts. A company’s accounts show whether it can pay its debts, and little else. So the things a founder does to keep the business alive — mortgaging the house, going years without a proper salary — show up only as evidence that they are a bad bet. Grace argues a bank could learn more from how a company operates than from its balance sheet. Financial institutions are not expected to change their current risk assessment models, but to curate more intelligence not typically included in traditional underwriting.

  • Open up data in the sectors that don’t have it. Financial platforms building a finance product in the UK can plug into open banking and other public intelligence. Grace had no equivalent in healthcare, where the data belonged to patients, every use required consent and nobody in the industry would share.

  • Be there yourself early on. You can hire a team who knows the market, Grace says, but at the start the founder has to turn up in person.

  • VCs aren’t the only route to capital. Angels, super angels, revenue-based financing, debt and grants are all legitimate paths, but people don’t always think — or know — about them early on. Choosing the wrong type of investor for your stage, Grace argues, is a common misalignment.

  • Match the investor to what you’re building. Investors have different theses, and Grace argues founders often read a bad match as a rejection. If you’re not offering deep tech or AI, Silicon Valley VCs aren’t interested.

  • The people who back you early are rarely convinced by your pitch deck. They invest because they trust you — your integrity, your track record of delivering despite constraints — and that kind of trust, Grace explains, is hard to convey on a slide.

You built Self Care Catalysts in Toronto and sold it to Alira Health in 2022. How did that lead to Gifftid?

The thesis of Gifftid came from decades of work. I started in the corporate world, at some of the largest pharmaceutical companies, then became an entrepreneur with Self Care Catalysts. That gave me several vantage points. Inside a large company, I’d worked with small suppliers, decided where to invest our capital and set up joint ventures.

Afterwards I wanted to work on behalf of small businesses. Large corporations have capital, infrastructure and people. They also depend on small suppliers who have none of that, and who struggle to win a contract long enough to plan or borrow against.

What was the shift from corporate life to running your own company like?

Self Care Catalysts was a turning point. Coming from a cushy job, I had to learn how to run a small business — put my own capital in first, then raise more, then build teams.

I started with my own, my family’s small capital, then friends, then people who’d never met me and backed me anyway because they could see I was trying to solve something in healthcare. The hardest part was doing it on limited funds and hiring people yourself, with nobody to help you screen them.

You do everything when you’re a start-up — building the team, building the product, selling, commercialising — and you’re always raising.

What got me through was my team. It matters enormously to have people behind you who back what you do with capital or commercial contracts, and they do it because of your integrity and your ability to deliver despite the constraints. None of that shows up in a pitch deck.

How did being on the other side of that — a small business being judged by investors — shape Gifftid?

I’m Canadian and I lived in Toronto, but I raised most of my money in the US. I had some Canadian investors too, but I commercialised the company in the US and it was acquired there. It was the natural market for it.

My commitment to small businesses isn’t about a big market on paper. It comes from having been one, and from working with so many that deserve more capital and capacity — because they can use it.

Founders are the first to take risks. So when a bank turns you down and calls you high-risk — well, yes, but taking risks is the whole job. It runs from mortgaging your assets to going years without the salary you deserve.

Those risks don’t show up on a balance sheet — financial statements only read your ability to pay. So much about a small business is illegible to funders.

So I built Gifftid out of that conviction. First I found people who believed in it — some were classmates from Oxford’s Saïd Business School. They didn’t share my experience, but they had conviction and said, “let’s work with you on this.” Others were investors from my last company, or friends who backed me without quite knowing what I was building.

One day a major investor texted me: “Grace, can we invest in your company?” She was asking permission, without knowing what it was. She’s my biggest angel investor today.

None of that shows up in a pitch deck — and a deck is easy to assemble now, especially with AI. An investor or bank could learn far more about a company from other signals. That’s what we do. We gather public intelligence and operational signals that never reach a balance sheet, and turn them into real-time evidence for small businesses.

Why did you choose to build Gifftid in the UK specifically?

Moving here was a risk. I’m in my 50s, and I left Toronto — home for 30 years, where I had all my relationships — for a country where I knew just one person well: my former chief of staff.

I moved because the UK is willing to change how it deploys capital. First, it’s one of the most rigorous and respected financial centres in the world, alongside New York and Singapore. Second, it has 5.5 million small businesses — where else? — and a whole ecosystem around them.

One lesson from before is that you have to be present where you want to grow — build relationships, get out and learn. So I listened. I walked into rooms where I knew nobody, and I was lucky to always be invited. Sometimes I’d wonder why I was there; usually it was simply to listen and learn. That’s what the UK has given me.

Your first company took years to find its market. Is building faster now?

I tend to enter markets that don’t exist yet and help create them. Digital health wasn’t established when I started. I was one of its early builders. More than 200,000 patients were using our technology, until we pivoted to serving the pharmaceutical companies who became our customers.

It was slow partly because the market didn’t exist, and partly because I was challenging the system. In healthcare, patients used to be recipients of care, left out of treatment decisions. The power sat with doctors, hospitals and big companies. Only now is that shifting.

That’s why the company was called Self Care Catalysts. The whole idea was to give patients their own data and let them make decisions with it. It took a long time.

Healthcare is also harder because the data belongs to the patient. Using it means getting consent, and back then the ecosystem wouldn’t share. Compare that with open banking here, which is well established across the UK and EU — a completely different environment for new ideas.

Raising money in the US, though, is fast. I closed my first external round after speaking on an innovation stage in Washington, DC, about the technology we’d built. The technology took enormous time and money then. I could build it in a much shorter time now.

Here the environment is ready for new thinking, and the infrastructure for generating data is far better. Back then I was building my own very basic natural language processing. What used to be slow for lack of data is fast now — and it helps that I know what I’m doing this time.

What would you say to a founder expanding into the US who can’t be there?

You have to hire a US team — people who know the culture, already have the relationships and understand the business you’re entering. But if you’re really early, the founder has to be there.

Building my first venture, I was on a plane to Silicon Valley, New York, Boston or Chicago several times a month. It was easy, though, because I was based in Toronto.

One thing about the US is that once people believe in you, they say “I like you, I’ll introduce you” — and they do it straight away. You get picked up and brought around fast.

In the UK, I identified advisers who might be aligned with what we’re doing and reached out cold. They came on board, hugely committed, and have been introducing us across the ecosystem. That’s why I believe in finding people who believe in you. You don’t have to ask them to work hard, they just do.

Are there programmes on the US side worth UK founders knowing about?

Springboard Enterprises is an all-women accelerator that started before accelerators were even in vogue. They do everything to introduce you — booking meetings, putting you on stage, working for the founders. They brought us to Washington, DC, the White House and Silicon Valley. That was years ago, so I can’t speak for how it works now, and there are far more programmes today than there were a decade ago.

Here, I’ve deliberately not joined an accelerator programme because I already had so much experience, and I’d rather spend my time building and finding my own supporters. Whether that’s the right thing or not, I don’t know. But I’m happy with the progress we’re making.

Grace Almendras-Castillo (Source: Grace Almendras-Castillo)

Who are the invisible entrepreneurs, in practice?

We’ve identified and named thousands of what we call the modern SME — smaller companies solving problems for society, whether in climate, energy, healthcare or food and agriculture.

Those are businesses traditionally seen as fringe or niche, but when we look at their forward-looking signals, they’re the ones with high commercial potential. The limitation is that they’re not given capital.

Immigrant entrepreneurs are the hardest to fund. With no starting point, you’re constrained on every side — capital for the company, building a new life, even the cost of attending events. But they’ve already moved to another country. They’ve been through enough hardship that the difficulty of building a business is easier to absorb.

Does the same logic apply to women?

The logic applies, but I’m probably one of the few who’ll say it differently. It’s not that investors don’t want to back women. It’s that there isn’t yet a long track record of returns to point to. Women only started founding companies in real numbers a few decades ago, so the track record investors look backwards for barely exists. That’s the gap.

Women tend to be very capital-efficient — we can do a lot with little — but those signals aren’t captured anywhere. There’s nowhere for them to be recorded. That’s what we’re building — the infrastructure to make those signals visible.

Women and foreign-born founders building companies that tackle climate, energy, healthcare or food — those are the modern SMEs. We’re the first to name them as such.

What’s your advice for female founders on proving themselves to investors when the track record and evidence they’re being asked for might not exist yet?

It’s always a combination. First is economics, because when you’re talking to an investor, they need to make their money back with good returns. Investors have different lenses and different investment theses.

If you’re pitching to Silicon Valley VCs and you’re not offering deep tech, AI or something that returns at least 50x or 100x, don’t bother. Find the investor whose thesis aligns with who you are and what you’re doing.

Second, VCs aren’t the only route. I didn’t raise from them — I raised from angels and super angels, then borrowed against revenue once I had it. When I hear, “why does only 2 per cent of VC funding go to female founders?”, I’d say a lot of it is misalignment. You’re chasing a type of capital that doesn’t see you the way it needs to make its returns.

Third, be yourself. I never changed who I am, but I learned and got better. Still, respect that you’re there to ask for money and have to prove you’ll return it on good terms. If VC money isn’t the fit, look elsewhere — debt, grants, blended or revenue-based financing, or your own money first.

It’s not just about the money, either. You have to think about the nature of the capital you’re seeking and whether you can work with that funder at all. It matters most with PE and VC, because they have their own thesis, and you have to be ready to absorb that. Even after a first or second meeting, you won’t fully know who they are.

As a first-time founder I learned this the hard way. I thought doing good for society was enough, but you also have to show them when you’ll land your first million in revenue — that’s what earns a VC’s respect. If you haven’t got commercial revenue yet, don’t chase VC money. Spend the time building instead.

The number one thing: learn how to build and run your business, then pitch it.

What’s one thing you’ve read, listened to or come across recently that you’d recommend to readers?

This is going to be self-promotion, but I wrote a book called Boundless: Every Day. In Spite Of. It’s about how I made my decisions to get to where I am, and I’ve built an executive programme to go with it.

This series is run in partnership with the Jessica Vollman Foundation, a non-profit founded to honour the legacy of the late CEO, founder and advocate for women in entrepreneurship: Jessica Vollman.

Zero Sum

On Wednesday, the Government published its analysis of the zero hours measures in the Employment Rights Act 2025. The direct cost to employers, it estimates, will fall somewhere between £350 million and £2.9 billion a year, with an indicative central figure of £1.1 billion. Back in January, the Government’s analysis of the entire Act put the direct cost to business at around £1 billion a year. Just the zero hours measures are now expected to cost businesses more than the whole Act was supposed to.

Most entrepreneurs don’t use zero hours contracts. It is worth their attention anyway, because the uncertainty on display here is the same uncertainty they are hiring under.

Entrepreneurs are no doubt too busy building their businesses to pay it much heed, so as a reminder, the Act received Royal Assent in December with most of its substance deferred. Its provisions arrive in instalments — some immediately, then February, April, August and October of this year, then across 2027, with the detail emerging from a run of consultations still under way.

On 1 January 2027, the qualifying period for an ordinary unfair dismissal claim falls from two years to six months and the statutory caps on unfair dismissal compensation disappear entirely. The six-month rule applies to anyone who already has six months’ service on that date, which means anyone hired from around the end of June this year is included. Offers being made this month are offers into a regime that is not yet in force and whose surrounding detail is still being drafted.

There is a debate to be had about what these protections are worth to employees. There is no debate about this: they are not a free lunch.

When the Bill was announced, some argued it would cost the economy little and might even lift productivity. The Government still makes a version of that case, and its own new analysis shows how hard a case it is to make: the measures will raise administrative costs, reduce flexibility and make it harder for employers to respond to swings in demand. The analysis identifies 16- to 24-year-olds among the groups most affected, while arguing they also stand to gain most.

Which brings me back to something I wrote here in February, drawing on Pieter Garicano’s Why Europe doesn’t have a Tesla, which made the case that Europe’s labour laws go a long way to explaining its innovation gap with the US. Where dismissal is expensive, firms stop creating the jobs they might later have to discontinue, and the jobs most likely to be discontinued are the experimental ones.

A German restructuring runs to 31 months of salary per worker against seven in the US. The Danes, by contrast, let employers dismiss almost at will and catch workers with unemployment insurance covering up to 90% of prior income; the Austrians use portable severance accounts, funded by employers, that follow the worker between jobs. Both pair flexibility with a safety net, and both are among Europe’s more innovative economies.

Britain doesn’t have to choose between a safety net and a dynamic economy, I wrote then, but right now we’re getting the worst of both worlds. Six months on, with the expected costs rising, that looks truer than it did.

Three Big Ideas #67

🏦 Mann Virdee, Head of Science and Technology

Britain had a regional banking system and then, after a century of mergers and acquisitions, didn’t. Almost exactly 190 years ago, Midland Bank was founded in Birmingham. As it grew, it acquired other local banks, such as the Union Bank of Birmingham in 1883, and moved its head office to London in 1891. By the 1930s, Midland was, by some measures, the largest deposit bank in the world. It’s now part of HSBC. Many other regional banks followed the same path. The Manchester and Liverpool District Bank, for example, was acquired by National Provincial Bank, which later became NatWest.

While Germany still has its Sparkassen-Finanzgruppe (a network of local, publicly owned savings banks), we have branch networks whose credit decisions are often taken far away from the borrower.

That’s the broad context for two independent research papers on the geography of finance, which have just been published by the Financial Conduct Authority.

One of these papers found no evidence of a positive correlation between the overall size of a region’s financial sector and how much its smaller firms can borrow. That is, deeper capital markets don’t necessarily flow through to founders.

Instead, the authors argue, what matters is the composition rather than the scale. Their research found that lending to SMEs correlates consistently with regional growth. Broader financial expansion helps only up to a point, beyond which the relationship turns negative.

This means that geography, which digitalisation was supposed to have rendered unimportant, persists. It’s proximity that still shapes both small-business lending and whether larger firms make it onto the London Stock Exchange, because trust and tacit knowledge don’t travel well. Investors also price risk more steeply with distance from London than their counterparts do with distance from Paris or Frankfurt. Both papers find that the benefits of a financial centre don’t spill over much beyond its immediate hinterland.

These are associations rather than proven causes, and the FCA cautions that these findings should be treated as indicative and considered alongside other evidence. But at a time when Manchesterism is top of the agenda, it’s worth exploring whether the ability of a founder in Warrington or Wakefield to raise capital depends less on the depth of British capital markets than on where the decision to lend gets taken.

🧪 Philip Salter, Founder

Every disease is a policy failure. That’s the thesis of Saloni Dattani’s essay for Works in Progress. Her case is that we treat disease as part of the natural order, something to be endured, when most of it is really a problem we could solve — if we funded, organised and incentivised the work properly.

As she argues: “Medical innovation is one of the most valuable things that happens in a modern economy. Economists estimate that gains in life expectancy in the United States from 1970 to 2000 were worth about $95 trillion to Americans, with roughly half of that coming from reductions in heart disease mortality.”

However, we are leaving some of the greatest value on earth uncreated, not for want of ideas, but for want of a buyer. To put it bluntly, the market won’t serve patients too few or too poor to make a market. The malaria vaccine is a case in point: the science was largely there in the 1990s, but it sat for decades while half a million children died each year.

One answer is to incentivise the private sector. An advance market commitment (AMC) does this by design: donors promise up front to buy a proven product at a set price, stimulating the demand and certainty a firm needs to invest, then letting private firms do the capital-intensive work of trials, regulation and manufacturing. The pneumococcal AMC launched in 2009 is estimated to have saved more than 700,000 young lives.

Another part of the problem is testing, and here Britain has a genuine asset. Saloni writes about how the RECOVERY trial ran through the NHS during the pandemic and tested a dozen treatments against a shared control group at a fraction of the usual cost. It found a cheap generic steroid that saved hundreds of thousands of lives in months. A single national health system can run a trial across the whole country at a speed almost no one else can match — if we treat it as an engine of innovation and not merely a provider of care.

Everything above — and a lot more — is in Saloni’s essay, which is worth reading in full. On the one hand, it’s a heartbreaking realisation that the costs of bad policy are a matter of life and death on an epic scale. On the other, it’s a call to arms that shows how far innovation has taken us, but, more importantly, how far it will take us — and how quickly — if we get the funding and incentives right.


📈 Sophya Mashkoor, Researcher

Entrepreneurship is suddenly looking a lot more attractive to British adults. According to a survey by QuickBooks, 66% of UK adults are considering starting a business or side hustle, an increase from 52% the year before. More interestingly, the share who actually intend to start one in the next 12 months has doubled to 30%. Almost half of adults surveyed say they earned money from a side hustle in the past year, and 45% of those people hope to turn it into a full-time business — though slightly more, 49%, are content to keep it as side income.

Is this a sudden surge in entrepreneurial zeal? Not quite. Respondents put starting a small business or side hustle top for potential returns next year on 26%, ahead of cash and savings (21%) and the stock market (11%). Only 13% think it is the riskiest of the options they were shown, below both crypto (32%) and shares (20%). Higher return and lower risk than equities is less a claim about entrepreneurship than it is a verdict on the alternatives.

The survey shows that earning more money is the single thing Brits say would most improve their satisfaction with life, outranking better health, relationships or more free time. Of those considering starting a business or side hustle, just over two-thirds would begin it alongside existing work.

Which of the following would make you more satisfied with your life than you are today? (Source: Entrepreneurship in 2026)

You’d expect a lack of ambition to be the biggest obstacle, but Britain may have more entrepreneurial ambition than it is given credit for. What stops people is a lack of money. Asked to name their single biggest obstacle, 30% said a lack of savings or startup capital, ahead of 26% who said fear of failure. Six in ten say they would be more likely to start a business if financial guidance were easier to access. Asked what would most help them feel ready to fund a business, 32% chose a small grant, against 12% for a clearer funding plan.

In The Entrepreneurs Network’s own recent survey of UK founders, Cool Britannia, a similar pattern emerged. According to respondents, the strongest signal that a country is serious about entrepreneurship was tax levels and breaks on 68%, followed by access to capital on 60%. As it turns out, aspiring founders and established ones are asking for the same thing — easier access to finance.

Skin in the Game

In 2019, a landmark review commissioned by the Treasury found that if women started and scaled businesses at the same rate as men, it could add £250 billion to the UK economy. The review made headline news — it had a catchy number, political backing and a list of recommendations that were meant to change the picture.

Seven years on, that picture looks much the same. Female-led startups still receive a fraction of UK venture capital, and the warm introduction culture that locks founders out before they’ve had a chance to prove anything still shapes who gets funded.

What happens when you have the skills, the experience and the idea — but none of the network? Ahana Banerjee had all three, but she didn’t know the right people to help her get started.

Despite being an Imperial physics graduate with a strong record of software engineering internships, she submitted 200 funding applications and only received one reply that wasn’t a rejection. That reply was Y Combinator, which, for her, changed everything. Because in the fundraising world, credibility is — albeit unfairly — built on who has already bet on you. From there, she built Clear, a skin-health platform that helps people track their skin, understand what affects it and make more evidence-based decisions. It is now used by more than 70,000 people.

There is, however, a second number in Ahana’s story, and it comes later. At the end of her first proper funding round, she went back through her CRM, added a gender column to 300 investor meetings and did the maths.

What she found changed how she thinks about everything that came before.

  • Growing up between the UK, India and Singapore, and how that shaped her sense of purpose.

  • The confidence it took to get through hundreds of applications and rejections, and what Y Combinator gave her that the UK funding ecosystem couldn’t.

  • Why she ignored the VC growth playbook and spent five years on product fundamentals instead.

  • How her first funding round changed her perspective on what it means to be a female founder.

  • Why the UK’s warm-introduction culture shuts out the founders most likely to build something worth backing.

  • Consider tax incentives for backing female founders. Ahana frames this as one of the few levers that could be strong enough to force change. Without a clear financial reason for investors to back female founders, voluntary change has been too slow. The data shows female-founded businesses are not a poor investment, but the problem is access to the capital needed to prove it.

  • Address the UK’s reliance on warm introductions. Early-stage funding here runs almost entirely on existing networks, which structurally excludes founders without wealthy families or established connections, regardless of talent. More early-stage programmes willing to bet on individuals and demonstrated traction, rather than existing relationships or five-year exit plans, would change who gets to build companies in the UK.

  • Know where your odds are highest. Across 300 investor meetings, more than 90% of what Ahana raised came from female-led decisions. She didn’t know this until she went back through her CRM after the round closed, but knowing it earlier would have changed her entire approach to fundraising.

  • Don’t let someone else’s playbook dictate how you build. Most VC advice assumes a category with a clear leader and a known distribution strategy. Ahana had neither. She credits Clear’s survival to ignoring the standard advice to spend aggressively on growth and focusing on product fundamentals instead.

  • Persistence outweighs a lot. Ahana submitted 200 applications and got 199 rejections or no response at all. What kept her going wasn’t the certainty she’d succeed, but the possibility of a high-potential reward — so she refused to read too much into the silence. The one yes was the only one that mattered.

You studied physics at Imperial, then built Clear, a skin-health platform that went through Y Combinator and now has more than 70,000 users. How do you trace a line from one to the other?

I was actually very much set on academia and pursuing a career in physics when I started university. Before that, I’d had some rather formative experiences as a teenager. I spent most of my childhood in the UK until the age of 14, and then my family and I moved to India.

I am of Indian origin, but I wasn’t very culturally Indian at that point, and India is a country of very stark extremes. My life there was experiencing the utmost privilege — I went to an international school, most of my teachers and classmates were from the US, and my peers’ parents were ambassadors, CEOs of very big companies. I had come from a regular state school in the UK, and yet I was living in a country where I was experiencing privilege as I had never seen before, and also seeing poverty and suffering as I had never seen before.

And there was that added layer of being of Indian origin, not very connected with my culture — just this feeling of, what did I do to deserve this life? Why are there these girls who look like me, my age, begging?

It had a huge impact on me. I became aware of all the privileges I’d had, and I’ve always felt that my greatest privilege has been my education. I wanted to use that education to do something broadly positive in this world. At the time, I thought that would be through scientific research and academia, which is why I spent all my high-school years just studying.

When I was 16, we moved from India to Singapore for those last two years of school. I got into Imperial and was delighted, because my life plan was on track. But it was pretty much as soon as I got there that I had a bit of an identity crisis. The more I learned about the realities of a career in academia — the timelines involved before you see the impact of your work, the job insecurity — I realised this isn’t what I want. But I still felt this huge responsibility: what do I do with this education and these skills?

So what did you do with that — the sense that academia wasn’t the right path, without yet knowing what was?

I just started applying for internships. I was lucky to be in London, where there are lots of different companies and sectors. The first was in software engineering at a big investment bank — I’d never had any interest in financial services, didn’t really know what it meant to be a banker, but I was curious. By the time I got to my third year, I had quite a few internships under my belt across software engineering and banking.

Then a guy messaged me on LinkedIn and said he wanted to build a company — matching students looking for graduate jobs with employers — and needed someone who could code, had events-planning experience and was connected with HR people at big firms. I ticked all three. At this point, I had no idea what entrepreneurship was, never even remotely considered it as a career, but it sounded like fun, so I said yes.

That was my first foray into entrepreneurship, and a huge turning point. I realised that as someone with both a technical skill set and a generalist skill set, this was how I could maximise my impact. But it was a family-funded business — funded by the very rich father of the guy who’d reached out. Because of that, it set up some slightly weird team dynamics, and I knew I didn’t want to start my career with this specific company.

The question then was: how does someone like me access funding? I had the confidence that I had the skills to build a business. The thing I didn’t have was capital, and I didn’t come from a family who could support it. So my actual plan was: take the graduate job that pays the most, save up and use that to fund my own business one day.

I ended up with two finance job offers going into my fourth year — one in private equity, one in investment banking. Then Covid hit. My extracurriculars stopped, the part-time job fell away and I suddenly had way more free time. I thought: if I one day want to start a company, why not start now?

Where did you start?

I started with the thing I knew nothing about, and that was the investor side. I submitted about 200 applications that summer with a pitch deck and got 199 rejections or ghosts. The one that didn’t was YC. They became investors in Clear when it was still at the idea stage, while I was still studying full-time. The condition was that I commit full-time, which meant dropping out of my master’s programme, and I made that decision at the start of 2021.

Off the back of YC, we did our first pre-seed round, which was about $900,000. Because that first fundraise was such a traumatic experience, I made sure that if I ever raised again, it would come from a position of strength, not need. I kept the team very lean — just me, then a CTO a year later. I still write code five years in, and it’s just the two of us full-time.

We’ve spent the first five years really focused on product fundamentals, tech and retention, de-risked a lot of that, proven organic growth and turned on monetisation at the end of last year on both the consumer and B2B side.

What kept you going through 200 funding applications?

This is either a personality trait or a flaw, depending on how you look at it, but I’m a huge believer in focusing on what’s within your control and not caring too much about the outcome.

When I was applying for internships, I did about 100 applications per week. I was already so accustomed to dealing with rejection that it just didn’t bother me. I’m very good at delayed gratification. I do things where, in the moment, I’m wondering if it’s doing anything, but until I get the one result I need, I just keep going.

And at the time, I still knew so little about the world of investment that I felt: I’ve already made the pitch deck, it’s just a matter of answering the same questions in a new form. It’s relatively little effort per additional application, with a potentially large reward.

What did getting into Y Combinator change for you?

I’m going to sound overly dramatic, but it was life-changing, and not because my skills improved overnight. The thing that changed was the credibility.

I’d been to a top university, done a serious degree, interned at prestigious investment banks, and yet I couldn’t get a meeting with any UK investor. I wasn’t in the networks. I didn’t know where to go. Even with VC investors, the whole industry is so reliant on warm introductions. If you have a genuine cold start, it’s very, very difficult.

There’s also this constant advice to start with friends and family. But when you’re a university student, unless you come from a wealthy family, you’re not getting funding from friends and family.

When it comes to raising investment — even just getting the meetings — I can say with a high level of confidence that the only reason I’ve raised any capital since is because YC was the first investor.

YC has a reputation for pushing hard on speed and growth. Did that ever create tension with how you wanted to build Clear?

There is something to be said for that. US investors do expect more speed, and because most of my investors fall into that category, with a more traditional VC mindset, that doesn’t completely align with what I think is best for my company.

I have always believed that with what we’re building, there is no market leader in our vertical. I want to build a billion-dollar business in this category, but it has not been done before. So, in terms of what that looks like from an actual product perspective and what strategies work for distribution, we don’t know. There’s not an exact playbook we can follow.

Therefore, in the early days, had I just haemorrhaged that initial funding round into marketing, which is what a lot of VC investors would expect, I can tell you very clearly there would be no Clear today. The business would have died a long time ago. So I purposefully didn’t do that.

Maybe the consequence I’ve paid is the narrative of — it’s been five years, why has the business not grown to a gazillion users? But the answer is that I wanted to invest in product development and tech to de-risk the fundamentals, to build a business that is profitable if it needs to be. And now we can take money and put it into growth, and this is the time to do it.

You raised the gap between university and the funding ecosystem — the idea that early-stage capital is so reliant on angel networks that young founders, almost by definition, can’t access it. What would help fix this?

This is a very utopian goal, but investors should not be so reliant on warm intros. I get it, I understand that they receive more than they can possibly deal with. I also receive more emails than I can possibly deal with, but I deal with them.

Only leaning into your immediate community is what causes the bias in the first instance and is what objectively makes it harder for founders like me to get in. And you see it in the numbers because there are also fewer investors who look like me.

I’m really against this warm introduction culture because it’s what makes it so easy for some to fundraise and so difficult for others, and there’s very little correlation with how good a builder you are.

Were there barriers you faced as a young female founder that you didn’t expect going in?

My opinion on what it meant to be a female founder drastically shifted after that first funding round.

Going in, I was absolutely the kind of person who took the view that it doesn’t matter what your race, gender or age is, it’s about what you can do. Up until that stage, I actually thought being a young brown woman was a net advantage. I can chat about skincare far easier than your average 40-year-old white male software engineer, but I’m as good at writing code, so net, I’m the right founder to build this business.

I have a tangible advantage. I’ve always felt there was a huge amount of founder-market fit, and I think investors who do invest recognise that I have the correct skill set, background and understanding of the industry to build the company that I’m building.

The first funding round totally shifted my perspective. I had my standard CRM to manage all the meetings I was having with investors. That first funding round — I’ve glossed over this — was about 300 meetings in a very short time frame. It was awful.

When I say it was traumatic, it was just meeting the worst people, saying all kinds of things I had never had said to me before, which is where the gender element comes into it. I had, up until that point in my life, prided myself on my academic capabilities. That was a large part of my identity. And then there was this notion that I was stupid. There were investors who did not believe that I was the one who had written the code for what I was building.

There are also some specific examples that have stayed with me. I knew a guy who was a few years younger than me who had dropped out of high school to build his company. He looked like he was high all the time, spoke really slowly and didn’t ever answer a question directly. But investors loved the persona. This worked so well for him as a genius dropout. If we’re being real, he did not prove anything. Nothing about him said genius except for his cool dude persona. I’m not a cool dude. I get it. But if we look at actual credibility, I had a lot more than he did coming into this. Yet the whole narrative around the fact that I’d dropped out was perceived very, very differently.

I’d been told I don’t look like someone with a physics degree. I was genuinely having to send screenshots of my code commits, basically do live coding interviews with investors, to prove that I was the one who had in fact built my own company, despite having several software engineering internships under my belt, despite having a physics degree from Imperial.

The thing that validated the bias point was the CTO I hired a year after starting the business. He also has an Imperial physics degree. We have the same qualification. He is a white man. No one has ever asked him if he can code. No one has ever challenged the notion that he is a software engineer. I have had it challenged multiple times.

How did that experience change how you approached fundraising?

I got to the end of that round and thought — is it just me, or are a lot of my investors women? I went through my CRM and added a gender column. Of the roughly 300 meetings I did, about 75% were with male investors and 25% with female investors, which is roughly expected.

But of my actual investors, over 80% were women. And in terms of dollars invested, accounting for the size of each investment, over 90% of the dollars I’ve raised were led by female investment decisions. From a sample size of 300, that’s a striking pattern in my own fundraising data, and it isn’t trivial. Had I known that before I started fundraising, I would have strategised very, very differently. I am strategising differently this time.

Female investors rarely asked me to justify the size of the skincare market. With male investors, it came up repeatedly — often in ways that revealed how unfamiliar they were with the category.

Fundamentally, after that first funding round, my opinion totally changed. I discovered that it is, in fact, considerably harder to raise funding as a woman, and it doesn’t matter how talented you are.

This was before I’d seen any of the 2% statistics, before I’d read the Harvard Business School study about promotion versus prevention questions in investor pitches. I knew none of that going in. It was only after I looked at my own numbers that I came to the conclusion that there are indeed systemic barriers for women trying to raise capital. I actually think it does women a disservice not to acknowledge them.

There are founders who continue to say it doesn’t matter — if I could do it, anyone could do it. That’s just not true.

If you could change one thing about the environment for high-potential female founders in the UK — on the policy side — what would have the biggest impact?

Explore whether targeted tax incentives could broaden who receives early-stage capital. I’m offering this as a provocative policy avenue rather than a fully formed proposal, but so far voluntary commitments alone have produced limited change.

Female founders have such difficulty accessing capital in the first place. If we just had more capital to prove what we’re capable of, demonstrate those returns and put more case studies in front of people, that could start to challenge these systemic biases.

I don’t think any of the people I spoke to who asked if I really had a physics degree, or if I could really code, are genuinely racist, sexist or ageist people. They’re just pattern matching. But when people said this to me, I said to their face: so tell me, what does a physicist look like? It just makes them uncomfortable. It makes them think.

And it makes me feel like if there were more examples of women with technical backgrounds, female founders building businesses — just for people to subconsciously re-evaluate what they think a founder looks like — that could help.

What’s one thing you’ve read, listened to or come across recently that you’d recommend to readers?

Black Box Thinking by Matthew Syed. The core idea that’s stuck with me: successful people don’t fail less — they just learn from failure faster. As a founder, that’s reframed how I think about growth.

The goal isn’t to have the perfect plan; it’s to run the right experiments, read the signal quickly and be honest enough to kill what isn’t working. I wrote a bit more about how I’m applying this at Clear here.

This series is run in partnership with the Jessica Vollman Foundation, a non-profit founded to honour the legacy of the late CEO, founder and advocate for women in entrepreneurship: Jessica Vollman.