Unemployment is back in the news. As John Burn-Murdoch has written in the Financial Times, the proportion of young people in the UK who are neither working, seeking work, in education nor raising children has doubled over the past decade. In The Telegraph, Tim Wallace shows that Britain has experienced the sharpest rise in youth unemployment across the G7. Rachel Wolf, meanwhile, describes how the lives of those on the margins of the labour market are being hollowed out.
Putting any pretence of false modesty aside for a moment, I predicted this would happen back in May.
All unemployment is bad, but youth unemployment is uniquely pernicious. Early-career joblessness leads to persistent earnings losses, skill depreciation and weaker attachment to the labour market that can last for decades. These scarring dynamics do not just harm individuals; they reduce business formation, slow productivity growth and raise the economy’s long-run unemployment rate. Youth unemployment is not just a cyclical inconvenience but a structural drag on entrepreneurial dynamism and growth.
This is partly why the Government has committed £820 million with the aim of supporting nearly one million young people into work. The plan is to create 350,000 workplace opportunities, expand Youth Hubs, and introduce a “Jobs Guarantee” offering fully funded, six-month placements for long-term unemployed 18-to-21-year-olds in high-need areas. For eligible businesses, the attraction is straightforward: taxpayers cover 100% of wages and training costs for these placements.
The Government will also spend a further £725 million to try to generate 50,000 new apprenticeships over the next three years. Here too, the incentives for eligible businesses are significant, with taxpayers covering 100% of training costs for apprentices under 25, removing the previous co-investment requirement.
Success in both cases will depend on employer take-up, whether placements resemble real jobs rather than holding patterns, and whether there is clear progression into unsubsidised employment.
The Government, however, is not doing itself any favours. Since coming to power, the Employer National Insurance Contribution changes announced at Labour’s first Budget are likely to fall largely on employees — through lower wages — and hardest on the young, who are more exposed to job losses and more likely to be priced out of low-productivity roles altogether.
In addition, from 1 April 2026 the National Living Wage (for those aged 21 and over) will rise to £12.71 an hour, while the minimum wage for 18-to-20-year-olds will jump to around £10.85 — an increase of roughly 8.5%. Rates for under-18s and apprentices will also rise to around £8 an hour. It is possible to strike a balance on minimum wages without causing excessive unemployment, but when the Labour-aligned Resolution Foundation is warning that the increase for 18-to-20-year-olds is “unnecessarily big”, and risks making it harder for them to find work, alarm bells should be ringing.
Then there is the Employment Rights Bill, which remains far from settled. While the shift away from day-one unfair dismissal rights toward a six-month qualifying period is welcome, it still risks making employers more cautious about taking on new staff — particularly young and inexperienced workers.
And there is still plenty more to be concerned about in the Bill. Under current law, compensation for unfair dismissal is capped at the lower of 52 weeks’ pay or a statutory maximum (around £118,000). The original proposal was to remove this cap entirely – a move rejected this week by the House of Lords. Unlimited awards would significantly increase the tail risk of hiring, especially in sectors like tech, where startups must compete on pay with large firms but lack the HR capacity to manage legal risk. For some of our most innovative firms, this risk would be existential.
Alongside this sit expanded union ballot and recognition rules, enhanced protections around industrial action and a range of other changes that, taken together, would make many business owners markedly more reluctant to hire if passed in their current form.
This is not to dismiss the importance of worker protections — but there is a balance to be struck. Our latest Entrepreneurs Survey provides one of the clearest signals yet of how the UK’s most ambitious founders view the Employment Rights Bill. Among those aware of the legislation, 80% believe it will have a negative impact on the economy, with more than 40% expecting the impact to be “very negative”. Just 4% believe it will have a positive effect.
The Government can’t say they weren’t warned.
Reckoned With
The Invest in Women Taskforce has published its annual report, and the headline is that the fund has now reached £635 million in commitments from institutions including Barclays, M&G, BGF, Aviva, Morgan Stanley, Nationwide and the British Business Bank.
The funding is designed to work on two fronts. Around £270 million will support the pipeline of female fund managers, enabling them to invest in female and mixed-gender founding teams. The remaining £365 million will be deployed directly by institutional investors into those companies.
The Entrepreneurs Network also gets a mention in the report for our work on angel investment, highlighting both regional disparities and the growing – though still limited – participation of women angels.
Read it in full here.
Humanity’s Hallmark
If you haven’t yet signed our Mission Statement, you can do so here. We’ll publish the first set of names in the new year, and continue adding to it over the months, years and decades ahead. Our mission is Sisyphean — and that is precisely why it matters.
On Your Marks
I’m delighted to share that Mark McCormack, Founder and co-CEO of Talking Tables, has joined us as an Adviser. Mark brings over 25 years of experience growing Talking Tables to a £20m+ turnover international business.
Mark is already providing a wealth of knowledge on policies around exporting and trade tariffs. He believes, like us, that entrepreneurs are the lifeblood of the UK economy, and that we help facilitate getting entrepreneurs heard by Westminster. Get in touch if you’re keen to find out more about becoming an Adviser in 2026.